Tuesday, August 25, 2009

Somalia thread for the week ending August 30

An article published at the UN's OCHA site IRIN provides voice to a little-mentioned aspect of the international community's focus on the waters off the coast of Somalia,

SOMALIA: Livelihoods - and lives - at risk in Puntland
Fishermen in the self-declared autonomous region of Puntland, northeastern Somalia, are losing their livelihoods and sometimes their lives due to foreign vessels invading their waters, says a minister.

"More and more fishermen in Puntland are coming to us to complain about foreign vessels destroying their nets and denying them access to fishing grounds," Mohamed Farah Aden, Puntland Minister of Fisheries, told IRIN.

He said these foreign vessels were destroying livelihoods. "I have a number of reports of Somali fishermen killed. These people are not only killing their livelihoods but they are killing them as well."

The minister said his office was compiling figures of how many had died in attacks by foreign vessels.

...

Jama Isse, a member of a fishing cooperative in the port city of Bosasso, told IRIN that many members were idle due to attacks by foreign ships. "People are afraid to go out there. Sometimes we are mistaken for pirates and sometimes these big fishing ships ram our boats or cut our nets.

"If the situation does not improve, many of us will be forced to join the pirates," he said. "We have no other means of making a living."

Ahmed Ali Abdalla, who owns several fishing boats, said the number of foreign ships had increased since the foreign navies arrived.

He said the foreign ships were using the naval forces as protection and denying locals the opportunity to fish. "They even take our nets with everything in them. It is like taking food from our mouths."

Local fishermen were caught between the pirates and the foreign forces, "but the worst are those fishing illegally", he said. "Some of them are armed and have even fired on us or taken our boats."

According to the analyst, to end insecurity in Somali waters what is needed is a comprehensive and integrated approach that addresses "not only piracy, but also the problem of illegal fishing, which pirates routinely cite to justify their actions".

Somalia has a 3,330km coastline, with major landing sites in Kismayo, Mogadishu, Merka and Brava in the south, and Eil, Bargal, Bolimog, Las Korey and Berbera, and Bosasso in the north. It also has large species, including tuna and mackerel; smaller stocks, such as sardines; sharks and lobster.


IRIN ran a similar article in April this year, quoting the Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Fisheries and Marine Resources of the TFG - SOMALIA: Getting tough on foreign vessels to save local fishermen

Relatedly,

Reuters: Illegal fishing evades U.N. crackdown -study
Illegal fishing is depleting the seas and robbing poor nations in Africa and Asia of resources, but a lack of global cooperation is undermining efforts to track rogue vessels, an environmental group said on Tuesday.

The Pew Environment Group, a Washington-based think-tank, has found that a United Nations scheme to oblige ports to crack down on illegal fishing boats is handicapped by a lack of accurate information, implementation and participation.

In the five years from 2004, of 176 vessels blacklisted by regional fishing authorities, only 55 turned up on port records, Pew said in a report it presented to the United Nations' Food and Agriculture Organisation (FAO) in Rome.

In some cases, ports were not checking ships' identity, using the unique vessel number on their hulls. In others, ships had found ways of avoiding detection, such as changing their names, sometimes doing so mid-voyage before entering a region where enforcement was stricter.

Blacklisted vessels are, in theory, banned from landing fish at ports in the regions signed up to the scheme.

...

Pew estimates that a fifth of all fish landed come from illegal, unregulated or unreported vessels -- and this figure rises to around half for valuable species like blue fin tuna.

...

"For some countries, this represents a major loss of income ... and is having a direct impact on the development of these countries," Flothmann said.

"In Somalia, a country which is totally incapable of enforcing anything in its waters, coastal fisheries have been devastated, turning fishermen into recruits for pirate gangs."

Part of the problem that Asian countries which consume large quantities of fish -- such as China, South Korea and Taiwan -- are not too scrupulous about where the catch comes from, [Stefano Flothmann, head of International Ocean Governance at Pew] said.

Europe, however, was also not exempt from criticism: much of the fishing fleet from countries like Spain and Norway use flags of convenience to dodge fishing quotas, he said.


New S. Korean anti-piracy unit starts operations in Somali waters
SEOUL, Aug. 24 (Yonhap) -- A fresh contingent of 300 South Korean troops has begun operating off the Somali coast, replacing an anti-piracy unit that had been deployed there since April, officials said Monday.

The Dae Jo Yeong destroyer took over on Saturday from the 4,500-ton Munmu the Great, which has escorted a total of 300 boats and is due to return to South Korea by mid-October, Joint Chiefs of Staff officials here said.

The 300-crew Munmu the Great, the first South Korean warship sent to operate under the U.S.-led anti-piracy drive, rescued seven commercial vessels, including a North Korean one, during its deployment.

Approximately 500 South Korean ships ply the Gulf of Aden each year. About 150 of them are vulnerable to pirate attacks because of their low speed, according to the defense ministry.


-- -- --

We'll have to wait & see how this story develops.

Somali pirates open fire on US navy helicopter
MANAMA (AFP) – Somali pirates aboard a captured vessel have opened fire on a US navy helicopter on the high seas as it carried out a surveillance mission over the boat, the navy said on Thursday.

There were no reported casualties or damage from the incident which occurred on Wednesday morning off the pirate-infested [sic] coast of Somalia, said a statement from the Bahrain-based US Naval Forces Central Command.

"Somali pirates aboard the motor vessel (M/V) Win Far fired what appeared to be a large calibre weapon at a US navy SH-60B helicopter," the statement said.

"The helicopter was conducting a routine surveillance flight of M/V Win Far, currently held at anchorage by Somali pirates south of Garacad, Somalia, when the incident occurred," it added.

The shooting came as the helicopter returned to the USS Chancellorsville, where a video recording of the incident was noted, it said, adding that during the flight the crew was unaware of the attack.

The navy identified the Win Far as a Taiwanese-flagged vessel which was seized by pirates earlier this year.

"Over the past 135 days it has been used as a 'mother ship' to conduct other known pirate attacks, most notably the US-flagged Maersk-Alabama in April," it said.

...

The world's naval powers have deployed dozens of warships to the lawless waters off Somalia over the past year to curb attacks by pirates threatening one of the world's busiest maritime trade routes.


High among them is the fishing trade, of course...

Something AP left out of their coverage: A recent Ecoterra International SMCM update posted this summation of the Win Far

FV WIN FAR 161 - The Taiwanese fishing vessel was seized April 6, 2009 near the Seychelles. It had then been involved in the attack on MV ALABAMA and is now still moored about 7 nm from Garacad. The crew of 30 (17 Filipinos, six Indonesians, five Chinese and two Taiwanese) is still together and on board. The ship's skipper and first engineer are Taiwanese nationals. The 700-ton long-liner is owned by a Taiwan company, which regularly sent their vessels into Somali waters from the Seychelles - a key transshipment point for poached tuna from the Indian Ocean to Japan.


AP reports Win Far as MV (motor vessel) while Ecoterra International and other sources refer to the Win Far as FV (fishing vessel). Is there a protocol for which acronym merits the greater emphasis? At any rate, the AP article fails to even mention the word "fish".

From an April 9 Ecoterra International SMCM update,

Among its 30 crew members of sea-jacked Taiwanese FV WIN FAR 161, the ship's skipper and first engineer are Taiwanese nationals, while five others are Chinese, 17 are Filipinos and six are Indonesian. In addition to trying to get the latest information about the ship through its representative office in South Africa, Taiwan's foreign ministry has sought the assistance of the U.K. Maritime Trade Organization, the maritime liaison office of America's Bahrain-based 5th Fleet, the Seychelles fishery bureau and the Somali harbour bureau in rescuing the hijacked Kaohsiung-based long-liner. Asked whether the ship has sent out a distress signal, Chen said the incident was reported back to the ship's owner in Taiwan by three other fishing vessels of the same company working in the area. They all returned to the Seychelles immediately after the incident occurred. As to whether the Chinese government has offered to assist, Chen said so far no such offer has been made but the ministry is actively seeking help from all types of channels. The Taiwan longliner was hijacked and used to hijack other fishing vessels in the area, the International Maritime Bureau said.

But other sources said that the reported attack on another vessel of the group did not succeed and the sea-jacked vessel was later seen by aerial surveillance leaving the area, while having a catamaran in tow. It is, however, assumed that the fishing vessel as well as the catamaran will be used to seize other ships.


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Garowe Online: Hiran region's Islamist governor returns home amid tension
BELETWEIN, Somalia Aug 28 (Garowe Online) - The governor of Somalia’s Hiran region has returned home after spending months in the Somali capital Mogadishu, Radio Garowe reports.

...

Somali government forces tightened security in and around Beletwein in anticipation of the governor’s arrival. An armed convoy escorted Sheikh Ma’ow from Kala-Beyr junction in Hiran to the town of Beletwein, where he urged supporters to uphold the peace and to defend Shari'ah law.

Sheikh Ma’ow has spent the past three months in Mogadishu, where he held meetings with Somali President Sheikh Sharif Ahmed, Prime Minister Omar Abdirashid Ali Sharmake, and other government leaders.

He was not in Beletwein when former Somali Security Minister Omar Hashi was killed in a deadly suicide bombing among scores of civilians and soldiers at a Beletwein hotel two months ago.

It is not clear what the return of Sheikh Ma’ow will mean in Beletwein, where Somali government forces control the eastern part of town while the western neighborhoods are controlled by insurgent fighters loyal to Al Shabaab and Hizbul Islam.

During the Ethiopian intervention that ended in Jan. 2009, Sheikh Ma’ow was the leader of Islamist factions in Hiran region.

But since the election of Sheikh Sharif as Somali president earlier this year, loyalties have been broken and Sheikh Ma’ow sided with President Sheikh Sharif’s interim government, angering local insurgents who accuse Sheikh Sharif of being a Western puppet.


Shabelle Media: Ethiopian and TFG troops conduct operations in Beledweyn town
more Ethiopian and TFG soldiers are conducting operations in parts of Beledweyn town in Hiran region, witnesses told Shabelle radio on Saturday.

Reports say that the government soldiers with Ethiopian troops poured into parts of the neighborhoods of Beledwetn town and continuing operations in Hawl-wadag neighborhood in the west side of the town on Saturday morning where there had been forces loyal to Harakat Al-shabab Mujahideen recently.

...

Residents said that more government soldiers could be seen in the streets of the Beledweyn town searching the traffic using the roads of the town while the Ethiopian troops confined some limited areas like the police station and Madina hotel and streets that connects neighborhoods of the town.

Witnesses said that sporadic gunfire could be heard in the town as both the Ethiopian and government troops still continuing their operations in parts of the town saying that the Islamist fighters of Harakat Al-shabab Mujahideen left from the town peacefully as the Ethiopian troops reached there.


Ethiopian troops make military bases in Beledweyn town
Ethiopian troops have made military bases in the west site of Beledweyn town in Hiran region, witnesses told Shabelle radio on Saturday.

Reports from the town say that more government soldiers with Ethiopian troops entered overnight in the west side of the town and made search operations there until Saturday morning where they lately made military bases.

Locals said that government soldiers robbed some of the people’s belongings in the areas where both the allied troops reached today adding that the movement of the traffic, people and business returned normal.

Witnesses told Shabelle radio that two people were also killed in the town as the government soldiers opened fire to the people. One of Beledweyn university officials told Shabelle radio that the troops crushed computers and took money that laid at the office of the university declining to mention its amount.

There is no official who talked about the operation of both Ethiopian and TFG troops who jointly entered to parts of Beledweyn town in central Somalia and conducted operations


Doesn't sound like that will gain the compromised governor any more popularity and even a temporary ethiopian presence, along w/ any looting & other banditry by the govt's militias, only favors the guerillas advantage in ultimately taking back the territory.

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VOA: Paris-based Group Says Accused Somali Pirates Denied Rights
A Paris-based legal aid network, Lawyers of the World, says agreements signed by the United States, Britain, the European Union, and Denmark to transfer suspected Somali pirates to Kenya for trial violate the human rights of the suspects. The legal group is representing more than 40 detainees captured by European navies off the coast of Somalia and handed over to Kenya for prosecution.

Lawyers of the World representative Avi Singh tells VOA his organization has written to the United Nations, the European Union, and to Kenya's foreign ministry, expressing deep concern that more than 100 suspected pirates awaiting trial in Kenya are being denied basic human rights and the right to a fair trial.

"Under Kenyan domestic law, there is no entitlement to legal aid for anybody who is not accused of a capital offense," said Singh. "So, suspected pirates have no opportunity to have a lawyer. They have no opportunity to review the evidence against them. At no point is there any independent adjudication of whether these people are actually pirates, have actually committed a crime or not. So, basically, you have ship-catching to conviction."

...

Under agreements signed in the past year with the United States, Britain, the European Union, and most recently with Denmark, Kenyan courts are responsible for trying suspected pirates apprehended anywhere in the region by foreign navies. In return, Kenya is said to be receiving funding and support to reform its much-criticized judicial system.

Earlier this year, U.N. human-rights investigator Phillip Alston published a scathing report on widespread judicial corruption in Kenya. The country's courts are also reportedly overwhelmed by a backlog of more than 80,000 cases.

Singh says none of the funds given to the prosecution and courts are making their way to Shimo la Tewa, a notoriously overcrowded prison in the Kenyan coastal city of Mombasa. He says many of the accused hijackers have been there for months without adequate medical care and access to such basic amenities as soap.

"There are juveniles in there and they all have medical ailments," continued Singh. "There is actually a 14 year-old kid with bullet wounds. There is somebody with a bullet still in the body. They have had no contact with any family members or any opportunity for contact with anybody in Somalia since their arrest."

...

Lawyers of the World has asked the International Committee of the Red Cross to deliver food and medicine to piracy suspects and to monitor their treatment in jail.


-- -- --

Following the previous thread, here are a few more stories related to efforts to block China in the Indian Ocean

Stars and Stripes: U.S. plans land-based UAV patrols to combat piracy
U.S. officials plan to use MQ-9 Reaper unmanned aerial vehicles to patrol the Indian Ocean as a way to combat piracy in the region.

About 75 U.S. military personnel and civilians will be headed to the Seychelles islands in the coming weeks to set up the Reaper operations, which could start in October or November. U.S. Africa Command is calling the Navy-led mission Ocean Look.

The U.S. will base the Reapers — to be used for intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance — at Seychelles’ Mahé regional airport, Vince Crawley, AFRICOM spokesman, said.

The Navy has been using ship-based UAVs in the region for some time, but using land-based drones for counterpiracy work is new, he said.

...

The mission should last several months, with a Reaper airborne at all times, Crawley said. Details on exactly how long the UAVs would be in the Seychelles are still being worked out, he said.

The UAVs would not be armed.

“We will get it up and running and see for a few months if it is the right assets and location (for counterpiracy). It is a very strategic location,” Crawley said.

According to San Diego-based General Atomics, which manufactures the Reaper, the UAV can stay in the air for 30 hours and fly at speeds up to 275 mph.

...

In addition to Reapers, the Navy has experimented with operating P-3 Orion patrol aircraft at the same Seychelles airport. A P-3 crew with Squadron VP-10 operating out of Djibouti stopped off at the Seychelles overnight from Aug. 12 to Aug. 13 to test the idea.

“I believe the main focus would be maritime security and counterpiracy operations,” said Navy Capt. John Moore, commodore of Combined Task Force 67 in Sigonella, Italy.

The P-3s would not be permanently based there, Moore said.

Orions with a combat radius of 2,380 nautical miles can cover and survey a large area, the captain said.

“They add a lot of situational awareness. I would say that our assessment (of operating from the Seychelles) proved successful. We could do this,” Moore said.


From a story in the Seychelles Nation on the latter, dated August 12,

US surveillance plane visits Seychelles
As part of US support for Seychelles against piracy and other security threats, a P-3 Orion aircraft of the United States Africa Command arrives in Seychelles today.

The visit of this military plane is said by the US embassy in Port Louis, Mauritius, to be a further sign of the ongoing partnership between the people of the US and of Seychelles.

The P-3 Orion, a four-engine turboprop anti-submarine and maritime surveillance aircraft, has been the US Navy’s frontline, land-based maritime patrol aircraft since the 1960s.

Originally designed as a long-range, anti-submarine warfare patrol plane, the P-3C’s mission has evolved since the late 1990s to include surveillance either at sea or over land, where its long range and long loiter time have proved invaluable assets.

The P-3C has advanced submarine detection sensors such as directional frequency and ranging sonobuoys, and magnetic anomaly detection equipment.

The avionics system is integrated by a general purpose digital computer that supports all the tactical displays and monitors, automatically launches weapons and provides flight information to the pilots. The system also coordinates navigation information and accepts sensor data input for tactical display and storage.

The aircraft will leave Seychelles tomorrow.


From a (unattributed) press release by the Republic of Seychelles Office of the President the second week of August,
US Navy steps up Seychelles piracy protection
The president of the Republic of Seychelles, James Michel, has hailed this week's discussions with General William E. Ward, commander of US Africa Command(AFRICOM), as “extremely warm and fruitful.”
President James Michel has welcomed the announcement by the United States of America of its intention to operate surveillance assets, to include P-3 Orion maritime patrol aircraft and unmanned aerial vehicles in Seychelles.
The announcement follows in depth high-level discussions between the two countries on means of strengthening the security situation in the region, which builds on recently ratified provisions of the Status of Forces Agreement by the Seychelles National Assembly.

...

“This new venture is both a concrete step in the fight against piracy and a symbol of the trust and understanding which exists between the governments of the Republic of Seychelles and the United States of America. We look forward to continually strengthening this partnership based on our mutual desire for peace and stability in the region,” the President stated following the meeting.



The EU is basing two surveillance planes in the Seychelles as well.

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African Union to 'train Somalia police': officials
MOGADISHU, Somalia Aug 29 (Garowe Online) - The national police chief in Somalia has said that the African Union peacekeeping mission (AMISOM) in the Somali capital Mogadishu will begin training police recruits, Radio Garowe reports.

Gen. Abdi Qeybdiid, Somalia's national police boss, spoke Saturday at a ceremony in Mogadishu marking the returning of police officers who completed training abroad.

"AMISOM previously maintained [only] a military force now there are police units [in AMISOM] who will train our police recruits," Gen. Qeybdiid said.

He noted that new police recruits will be "trained inside Somalia" while the officers will receive training abroad. He did not specify which countries are training Somali police officers.

...

Gen. Bashir Gobe, the head of police training, ... stated that the police force will begin receiving regular salary and promised 'accountability" within the Somali police force.

AMISOM commanders have not spoken publicly about training police recruits in Somalia.


From a rpt of the UN General Assembly dated June 05, titled FIFTH COMMITTEE TAKES UP FINANCING TO CONTINUE LOGISTICAL SUPPORT PACKAGE FOR AFRICAN UNION MISSION IN SOMALIA

The report states that, pending a decision by the Security Council on the establishment of a future United Nations peacekeeping operation, the continued presence of AMISOM in Somalia’s capital, Mogadishu, remains critical. Without both logistics support from the United Nations and donor assistance for its other requirements, AMISOM will not achieve its mandated strength of 8,000 troops and 270 civilian police or establish effective peacekeeping operations.

Indications are that the number of AMISOM troops in Mogadishu will increase shortly to 5,150 with the deployment of another battalion from Burundi. With work under way to identify additional units to meet its present mandate, AMISOM anticipates that an additional two battalions will be in place from September 2009, with the remaining troops deployed, including a further battalion and additional units, by the end of 2009. AMISOM also anticipates having 157 police in place by the end of the 2009/10 period, averaging 81 during the year.


From the latest official TFG govt web presence,

AMISOM HOLDS CAPACITY BUILDING WORKSHOP FOR SOMALI POLICE FORCE
The African Union Mission for Somalia held a harmonization and coordination workshop on capacity building for the Somali Police Force from 13 to 14 August in Nairobi Kenya. The two day workshop sort to harmonize all the training programmes given to the Somali Police Force by various countries and organization to avoid duplication.

According to Dr. Steven Kasiima Munanura, AMISOM Police Coordinator for Training, the intention is to understand and appreciate how training programmes for the Somali Police Force will be handled by various stakeholders.

“The main objective of this workshop is to identify linkages between AU,UNDP and other stakeholders regarding training programmes” said Dr. Kasiima. He further said the workshop will also identify and discuss funding for the training programmes.

Participants to the workshop have been drawn from the Somali Police Force, African Union Mission for Somalia ,United Nations Development Programme, United Nations Department of Peace Keeping Operations and AU’s Strategic Planning Management Unit.


From the UN SecGen's March 9 rpt on the situ in Somalia

UNDP, in close cooperation with the African Union police contingent, has also restarted the training of trainers and is in the process of selecting 2,000 additional recruits for training within the next three months in Somalia, subject to confirmation of funding availability for stipend payment. The African Union police are assisting with monitoring, mentoring and advising trained officers who are still in service.

...

The technical assessment mission stressed the need for the coordination of assistance among international actors, including UNDP, the Department of Peacekeeping Operations, the African Union and bilateral donors. In this regard, the mission recommended that the UNDP training programme should provide a basis for continued support to the Somali Police Force. Under a clear division of labour, UNDP will train an additional 4,000 officers in 2009, while AMISOM police will help the Joint Security Committee to register, advise and mentor trained police officers and develop plans for reform and restructuring. The African Union plans to deploy 270 police advisers and mentors to AMISOM for that purpose. Additional United Nations police advisers assigned to UNPOS, initially from the standing police capacity, will support AMISOM and provide advice to the Joint Security Committee. United Nations and African Union police experts will also support the conduct by the Joint Security Committee and the Somali Police Force of medium-term training-needs analysis.

...

Contingency planning for a United Nations peacekeeping operation

...

Police component

60. The peacekeeping operation would include a civilian police component, deployed on the basis of a secure environment provided by United Nations forces. The tasks of the police component would include mentoring, monitoring, advising and training the Somali Police Force in policing and law enforcement, complementing UNDP activity; advising and assisting Somali institutions on community policing, investigations, police reform, restructuring and rebuilding; and facilitating the provision of equipment and infrastructure. Subject to assessment on the ground, it is estimated that the United Nations police component would comprise as many as 1,500 individual police officers and 8 formed police units (140 personnel each), which would provide protection for United Nations personnel and equipment and perform joint patrols with the Somali Police Force.


August 14 article at ISN, Africa: Police for Peace
By 2004, there were fewer than 1,000 African police officers charged with peacekeeping duties within and outside the continent. Today, that number has grown more than ten-fold and looks set to rise exponentially.

Experts link the growing demand for local police officers to work in peacekeeping missions to a trend that has seen conflicts on the continent become more internal in nature, with increasingly civilian casualties.

More often than not, these conflicts are fueled by ethnic differences, ethnic-based power struggles and unbalanced sharing of national resources. And civilians are increasingly playing a central role and are thus targeted by opposition militias.

While armies are useful in pacifying conflict areas, the calm they leave behind is usually short-lived and degenerates into human rights abuses such as rape and theft. Police, experts say, could serve as peacekeepers preventing these ‘aftermath’ atrocities and helping to rebuild the institutions of law and order.

“This concept, where the police peacekeepers take over as soon as the army peacekeepers pacify an area was first successfully used in Monrovia, Liberia. Since then, the army has demanded the police should take over where missions succeed in stabilizing,” Dr Steven Kasiima, who heads the police training and development wing of the Africa Mission in Somalia (AMISOM), told ISN Security Watch.

...

The practice of cleaning up after the army, however, is only applicable where stability exists, Kasiima of AMISOM said.

“In countries like Somalia, it is currently difficult to use this practice. We are only using police peacekeepers at the government police headquarters,” he said. However, this is complimented by the ongoing training of 500 Somalia police officers in Puntland, a semi-autonomous break-away region of Somalia, which is peaceful.

Additional police officers and Somalia military officers are being trained in Kenya, Djibouti, Uganda, Ghana and Nigeria.

When relative stability is established in Somalia, these police officers are expected to begin working with their foreign counterparts to reconstruct criminal justice systems that have been destroyed in the country and protect civilians at the grassroots level.

In pursuing this option, the police peacekeepers are playing the role of mentors and trainers – which will be critical to ensure that when peace is finally established, the host affected county has adequate police officers to take up law and order maintenance and prevent resurgence of conflicts.

However, it is not all about waiting for “stable heavens” for the police before they engage in conflict zones. A new concept in which crack units known as Formed Police Units (FPUs), is now operational in Africa.

FPUs comprise 140 heavily armed officers with special training, who can engage in combat situations to help the local police force or are called upon to protect civilians in case of hostile armed attacks.

A half a dozen such units are already operational in Darfur, compared to the target of 19 such units, and a similar arrangement is being planned for Somalia.


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Garowe Online: Justice Minister admits troops 'take extortion money'
MOGADISHU, Somalia Aug 29 (Garowe Online) - A Cabinet minister in Somalia has admitted that government forces 'take extortion money' from commercial and civilian traffic at an important checkpoint, Radio Garowe reports.

Sheikh Abdirahman Janakow, the Somali Minister of Justice, told reporters Friday in the capital Mogadishu that government forces at the checkpoint connecting Mogadishu to the agricultural town of Afgoye is manned by "loyal soldiers."

"But the government does not take any money from vehicles…securing Mogadishu includes fighting against illegal checkpoints," the Justice Minister said.

The checkpoint on the road linking Mogadishu to Afgoye is manned by Somali soldiers, who stop every vehicle and collect cash, witnesses and officials say. The checkpoint has been attacked numerous times by insurgents, most recently last Thursday.

"We asked the officers if they authorized the collection of money [at the checkpoint] and they said no," Justice Minister Janakow said, adding: "This shows that there is an illegal operation."

...

Separately, commercial truck drivers in Mogadishu have declared a "three-day strike" and have refused to deliver goods to Bakara Market.

The drivers complain that they pay "lots of money" on the way to delivering goods to particular destinations.


-- -- --

Le Monde: Surprise Release of Frenchman Kidnapped in Somalia
In Somalia, where piety, politics and the pursuit of personal interests, especially financial, are regarded with equal seriousness, the surprise release, Wednesday 26 August, of one of the French citizens abducted on 14 July with one of his colleagues from a hotel in Mogadishu raises many questions.

...


-- -- --

From an August 19 Los Angeles Times article, functioning as a pro-AMISOM propaganda piece,

In Somalia, troops for peace end up at war
Until recently, AU political leaders and the U.N. resisted requests by AU military commanders that their troops be allowed to go on the offensive, fearing such a move would only escalate the violence and allow insurgents to taint the soldiers as "foreign invaders."

[First, they are foreigners based in Somalia, so no matter whether they admit shelling civilian neighborhoods or not, they already are tagged as foreign invaders. Both TFG's were neither created by Somali's nor inside Somalia, so there is no legitimate argument that Somalis invited AMISOM forces into their country to support the Ethiopian mission to insert and protect the transitional govts inside the Mogadishu. Somalia, as if anyone needed a refresher course, are extremely hostile to any armed foreign presence in their country, never mind one that is widely acknowledged to be the only thing keeping the flailing foreign-imposed govt alive.]

But the newly arrived force commander, Ugandan Maj. Gen. Nathan Mugisha, said he had received a green light to get tougher. "We can preempt," he said. "We don't have to be like sitting ducks, waiting to be beaten like a drum."

[If there was approval for "a green light", it has yet to be officially made public, since the UN et al just recently declined to expand AMISOM's mandate to include offensive operations.]

In an instance of the new approach, AU troops last month responded to an insurgent attack on the presidential palace by engaging for the first time in a sustained street battle, pushing the insurgents back more than four miles. It was the farthest AU troops had fought beyond their zone.

[And within 24 hours the insurgents had retaken that very same territory, as is to be expected in guerilla struggle where the various insurgent forces, while no match for direct confrontation w/ the heavily-armed military forces of AMISOM, have most other factors on their side. They can't necessarily win the battle, but they are in the best position to win the war.]

...

Somalia's president, Sheik Sharif Sheik Ahmed, is encouraging the AU to jump into the fight, saying operations against insurgents are justified under the mission's mandate to support the government.

"Mogadishu is the seat of the government and it should be free of insurgents," Ahmed said in an interview at Villa Somalia, the heavily guarded presidential palace. "There are many different forms of self-defense. Preemptive defensive action can be taken."

[Well doesn't that sound familiar...]

Ahmed said the AU's positions in the capital have allowed his army, which is really a collection of allied militias, to take its battle to different parts of the country. In recent weeks, government forces have made headway near the Ethiopian border.


Near the Ethiopian border, or, more accurately, from the Ethiopian border?

Tuesday, August 18, 2009

Somalia thread for the week ending August 23

The scramble continues to play out before our eyes...

Do you think they comprehend that the name "Operation Ocean Shield" is a more than a tad imperious?

NATO launches new anti-piracy operation off Somalia
LISBON — NATO on Monday launched operation Ocean Shield to help fight rampant piracy off the Horn of Africa after the alliance's North Atlantic Council approved the mission, it said in a statement.

"No timeframe has been set for this long-term operation, which will last as long as it's deemed necessary," Major Stefano Sbaccanti, a spokesman from the alliance's Joint Command Lisbon, told AFP.


The NATO press release stresses the "enhanced mandate"
While at-sea counter-piracy operations will continue to be the focus, a new element of regional state counter-piracy capacity building has been developed for Operation Ocean Shield. NATO’s capacity building effort will aim to assist regional states, upon their request, in developing their own ability to combat piracy activities. This element of the operation is designed to complement existing international efforts and will contribute to an improved maritime security situation off the Horn of Africa.


If that mandate sounds familiar, then you may also recall when M K Bhadrakumar wrote at Asia Times Online last October, as NATO first began operations in the area
It is obvious that these first blasts of the new cold war have blown into the Indian Ocean region against the larger backdrop of big-power relations.

...

US officials are on record that Africom and NATO envisage an institutional linkup in the downstream. The overall US strategy is to incrementally bring NATO into Africa so that its future role in the Indian Ocean (and Middle East) region as the instrument of US global security agenda becomes optimal.


Expect NATO's capacity-building to do for anti-piracy efforts what AFRICOM's maritime achievements have done to help African nations combat illegal fishing. As EcoTerra International continue to point out in their Somali Marine & Coastal Monitor alerts, "So far not a single illegal fishing vessel has been detained by the naval forces, though they had been even informed about several actual cases, where an intervention would have been possible."

Relatedly,

U.S. admiral takes over piracy task force
The cruiser Anzio, now with a U.S. admiral aboard leading a multinational counter-piracy task force, has left the Persian Gulf and is preparing for stepped-up pirate attacks the Horn of Africa region as weather conditions improve.

Last Thursday, Rear Adm. Scott Sanders took command of Task Force 151 from Rear Adm. Caner Bener, of the Turkish navy, who had been leading 5th Fleet’s counter-piracy campaign from the Norfolk, Va.-based Anzio.

...

Vice Adm. Bill Gortney, 5th Fleet commander, has reiterated that piracy may center on hijacking ships for ransoms, but it’s a problem that cannot be solved by navies.

“We’re not going to be successful because we are working at the prevention effort at sea. And not enough is being done at the root cause,” he said during an Aug. 16 interview with Navy Times in Bahrain. “No one is trying to cure the cancer. We’re dealing with the symptoms.”


All allusions to diseases aside, navies actually could play an important role in curtailing the issues of IUU trawling and illegal dumping, which have repeatedly been cited as both the original impetus and an ongoing concern of piracy along the coast. Equally applying enforcement of existing international laws would be the obvious starting point. Those spearheading the piracy of merchant ships aren't the only ones profiting handsomely in these waters.

Meanwhile,

Fishermen in southern Somalia complain of harassment by foreign warships
Fishermen along the Lower Shabelle coastline have been complaining about foreign ships along the Somali coast which are said to be fighting Somali pirate groups. The fisherman have said they are unable to fish along the coastlines as a result of the high ocean currents and strong winds adding that upon going deep into the sea, they are met by these foreign warships which tell them that they are not allowed to fish in the high seas. The fishermen said this makes their work very difficult as they sometimes spend a lot of fuel getting to these parts of the ocean.

There has been a decrease in the supply of fish in Marka and Barawa in Lower Shabelle [southern Somalia] as the prices have sky rocketed and are well beyond the reach of most residents.


-- -- --

Prof. Michael Weinstein's latest analysis is now up at Garowe Online, pointing out that the armed opposition appear to continue to hold the advantage on the ground in anticipation of escalated confrontations with AMISOM forces.

Preparing for Battle in Mogadishu and Beyond

Definately worth reading in full, as usual, with a fresh touch of added levity in Weinstein's observation that "Washington Post correspondent Stephanie McCrummen ... threatens to become the Judith Miller of Somalia reporting." Other than the scales involved in the comparison, I do have to differ on the tense there, for her articles have always heavily channeled disinformation from the usual suspects to purposely shape Wapo reader's perceptions.

-- -- --

Change you can believe in...

Somalia's prime minister reshuffles cabinet
Somali Prime Minister Omar Abdirashid Sharmarke has reshuffled and expanded his cabinet in an attempt to end in-fighting in the face of a long-drawn-out insurgency, officials said on Tuesday.

Ali Jama Ahmed and Abdalla Boss Ahmed were named as foreign and defence minister respectively, the same posts as they had held in the former transitional federal government.


-- -- --

IPS: Israel Turns Dubiously to Africa
Just back from an extensive tour of South America, [Israel's foreign minister Avigdor] Liberman is soon to set out on a five-nation African tour. The Israeli foreign ministry calls it "an out- of-the-ordinary visit", the most extensive ever by Israel's top diplomat to the continent. He will criss-cross Africa to take in Ethiopia, Kenya, Uganda, Angola and Nigeria.

...

Liberman says his visit will provide a diplomatic boost to states with economic and security ties with Israel. "I want to tell them that Africa is important to Israel," he said in his interview. "We must not neglect them, especially in view of the efforts by countries like Iran to influence them and establish themselves there."

Security sources point out that Israel has an additional immediate security interest - keeping tabs on the spread of Al-Qaeda linked groups in various parts of Africa.

...

The ministry confirms that Liberman will be accompanied by a large retinue of businessmen, many of them arms dealers, as well as security advisers and representatives of state-backed military industries.


-- -- --

Reuters: U.S. planes to join Seychelles anti-piracy push
The U.S. military said on Wednesday it would be deploying unmanned reconnaissance aircraft in the skies above the Seychelles archipelago to bolster anti-piracy patrols.

...

"We have the recent arrival of our P-3 Orion maritime patrol aircraft that will aid in conducting the surveillance of Seychelles territorial waters and as we look into the future, (we will) bring unmanned surveillance vehicles," said General William Ward, commander of U.S. Africa Command (AFRICOM).


This is of interest for at least two reasons.

First, the so-called area of responsibility for the waters off Somalia, where international efforts are underway to obstensibly address piracy, has remained tasked to CENTCOM, not AFRICOM. The Seychelles are w/i AFRICOM's AOR so this would appear to indicate that AFRICOM is now publicly involved in these maritime operations.

And second, the Seychelles archipelago is a valuable geostrategic Indian Ocean asset in the eyes of all the big players on global stage. China and India are currently wooing its government. Neocons and kin are worried about China challenging U.S. naval dominance & superpower status by utilizing this ""unsinkable aircraft carrier" in its line of communications w/ Africa:

Taking into account the fact that the Republic of Seychelles 110 Islands are scattered over a wide surface of the Western Indian Ocean, which includes a vital oil route and taking into account that important oil producing Nations are within rocket striking distance, the geo-political importance of Seychelles cannot be under-estimated.


-- -- --

Nothing revelatory here, but may as well document the official acknowledgment:

VOA: Ethiopian Official Says Somali Militias Use Ethiopia to Attack Rebels
Ethiopia has confirmed that pro-government militias from neighboring Somalia are using Ethiopian territory as a base to launch attacks on rebel forces.

...

pokesman Bereket Simon says Ethiopia has not and will not stop its military support to Somalia's Transitional Federal Government, or TFG, in its fight against a foreign-backed insurgency.

Bereket told reporters, pro-government Somali militias have permission to use Ethiopia as a base of operations in attacking al-Shabab rebels, who control large sections of southern Somalia.

"When the forces of the TFG attack al-Shabab and score victories, we don't care from which geographical positions they start the attack," he said. "But I assure you this is a Somali operation."


Of course, what's a statement from an official of the Ethiopian government without prevarications & bold-face lies? It's a "Somali operation" to the same degree that the TFG is the legitimate government of all Somalis.

"We have been training, not only now, even when we had been in Somalia, we have been training forces of the TFG, and we always train and we will continue to train forces of the TFG because we believe these are forces of peace and stability in Somalia," he continued.


Wondering, then, if Ethiopia ever required the necessary authorization for this to get around the United Nations Security Council's long-standing arms embargo on Somalia. Previous efforts at training were found in violation of such.

There were multiple reports on Thursday of Ethiopian troops deploying in Beledweyne (again). Shabelle Media posted that
Reports from the town say that the Ethiopian troops with many battle wagons poured into the town hours ago and made military bases in the street that connects between Ugas Qalif international airport and Harar valley in the town.


Earlier in the week, as an array of pro-government militias engaged in offensive operations to (temporarily) retake some territory throughout central & southern Somalia, there were also scattered reports that some Ethiopian forces were accompanying them.

-- -- --

Shabelle Media: Hisbul Islam officials say they joined Harakat Shabab Mujahideen
Ahmed Mohamud Salad known as (Sudani), acting chairman of Hisbul Islam organization in Luq district in Gedo region told Shabelle Media Network the officials met in Luq district in the region and agreed to be part of Harakat Al-shabab Mujahideen and take the same name.

The step comes as many officials of both Islamic administrations from different parts of the region met in Luq district and discussed more on efforts they want to protect the troops against the Islamist fighters and amassing in parts of the region.

Harun Hussein Ibrahim, head of Harakat Al-shabab Mujahideen in Gedo region told Shablle radio that they had greatly welcomed the decision of Hisbul Islam for joining them.


-- -- --

Excerpts from a well-put commentary by a former Somali ambassador, now serving as part of the ARS

The U.S & Somalia: A Somali Perespective
As the new Obama administration came to power, fires of hope were ignited throughout the world. Hope that the injustices of the Bush era would be corrected. ...

We, the Somalis as well, hoped for a change in US policy towards Somalia based on objective analysis of the real situation on the ground; a new paradigm, different in substance from the Bush administration’s ill-conceived and failed policies in Somalia.

Contrary to the expectations of the Somali people, the new Obama administration remains committed to the same failed policies of its predecessor; engagement in Somalia solely through the narrow prism of fighting international terrorism and piracy off the Somali coast as well as reliance on Ethiopia, the erstwhile enemy of Somalia and chief trouble maker in the Horn of Africa, for all matters relating to Somalia.

...

The tons of weapons and millions of US taxpayer money as well as political support go to a so-called government in Somalia which has no territory to control, no institutions, does not command the support and respect of the Somali people and whose “ president” hides in a Ugandese APC when travelling to and from Mogadishu Airport.

That is the “government” the US and other western powers support.

By throwing its weight behind a fiction, the US shed the veneer of a backroom player. It has come out of the closet. The aim is to impose upon the Somali people a small group of its choice; former warlords, Islamic turn coats and famously corrupt politicians.

Forcing unpopular politicians on a country does not work. Iraq and Afghanistan are relevant examples. This will not work in Somalia either.

Siding with this insignificant faction makes the US becomes an active participant in the Somali conflict.

...

There are as well other disturbing aspects to this new US military venture in Somalia that defy logic.

In the absence of a responsible government in Somalia, this huge influx of US weapons will make Mogadishu the biggest arms bazaar in Africa south of the Sahara. Illicit trafficking in arms and ammunition will flourish and proliferation of weapons especially in Africa will be out of control. And nobody would know where the weapons end or who has what. Whether a situation like this would contribute to peace and security in Africa and other places remains to be seen.

Another miscalculation is that the US and its allies ignore the easy access to and availability of every type weapons in Somalia. One can even buy a tank and park it in front of the house like a car. There is no weapons scarcity; the result of years of Ethiopian violations of the UN arms embargo on Somalia.

We must not, as well, overlook the devastating effect these military shipments have on Somalia. It is like pumping more gasoline into an already out of control forest fire. Such military fire power will at the end of the day cause heavy damage and destruction, kill, maim thousands of Somalis and add more millions to the already displaced.

A question is relevant in this regard. Whether these US military shipments are in line with the UN arms embargo or not? Security Council Resolution 751 0f 1992 obligated all member Sates of the UN to respect “a general and comprehensive arms embargo on Somalia”. The corollary to this requires all States to refrain from any military venture that jeopardises peace and security in Somalia. US weapons shipments undermine peace in Somalia and are consequently a violation of the arms embargo irrespective of any exemptions.

In further reference to the arms embargo on Somalia, the US sets a double standard with regard to violations of the arms embargo. It has the audacity to scapegoat Eritrea while ignoring its own and those violations of recidivist Ethiopia.

This arrogant behaviour has already encouraged countries like Djibouti as well as the predator States of Ethiopia and Kenya to violate with impunity the arms embargo. Other States will definitely follow suit. Consequently, this will lead to the internationalization of the Somali conflict.

Since the tons of US weapons constitute a violation of the arms embargo and are meant to kill, maim Somalis and destroy their properties, the US must be held responsible. It is the moral obligation of all peace loving nations to do so.

...

Somalia belongs to Somalis; we, Somalis are a resilient nation even in times of adversity. Our destiny, leadership and any constitutional arrangements can and must be decided by us, Somalis, without foreign interference.

The models in Somaliland and Punt land were developed by Somalis, under an acacia tree, free from the manipulations of theAhmedou W. Abdallas of the world. Whether one agrees with their current status is another matter. But, the two areas are peaceful because the process was indigenous and Somali owned.

...

The road to durable and lasting peace in Somalia is evident: a Somali owned process, immediate and full withdrawal of foreign troops, participation of stakeholders on the basis of equality and limiting UN role to logistical support. The result would be a comprehensive peace agreement, with mechanisms for implementation and a truly representative Somali government that can bring peace and stability to its citizens and act as a responsible player at the international arena.

Thus the need for a new paradigm and an unequivocal departure from the failed policies of the Bush administration is imperative. This will serve the best interests of the US and promote the aspirations of the Somali people for peace.


-- -- --

Sheik Hassan Dahir Aweys via Shabelle Media
Sheik Hassan Dahir Aweys said that it is an important to continue the fighting against the transitional government and AMISOM forces in holy Ramadan month vowing that they will continue the clashes against what he called enemy who invaded the country.

The Islamist leader said that the peace and solution could be found only when the foreign troops leave from the country and Somalis come together, talk and discuss the situation of the country and their own goals.

Sheik Aweys also said in his press conference that there are continuing plans to unite Hisbul Islam organization and Harakat Shabab Mujahideen.

Lastly the Islamist leader Sheik Hassan Dahir Aweys talked the conflicts between Ahlu Sunna Waljama’a and the fighters against the TFG going on in parts of central Somalia saying that all the Somali people are Ahlu Sunna pointing out that those clashes are organized by what he called enemy.

Wednesday, August 12, 2009

Somalia thread for the week ending August 16

A commentary by Abdikarim Farah, published at Garowe Online, makes a point that I've been raising for some time now:

Why Sheikh Sharif is Clinton’s Best Hope?
Following her meeting with president Sharif in Nairobi, US Secretary of State, Hillary Clinton dubbed Somalia’s feeble government as the “best hope” for the country to return to stability and progress.

The statement may seem as a dreadful mistake, a show of hypocrisy and indifference on the tragic situation in Somalia, but from the US Interest’s point of view, Clinton's finding is partly accurate, because one of its main goals has materialized - an Islamist infighting.

...

From the point of dividing Islamists, (religion to be abused and people abandon it) deepening the humanitarian situation (people to flee the country), and prolonging the conflict (preventing groups to reconcile), president Sharif’s Government is the “best hope” and means for achieving these long ambitions.


It would have been more complete to include the following:

  • Pitting Islamist against Islamist defuses the revolutionary movement that ascended in 2006 and whose power still persists. Think of peeling Sh.Sharif off from the ICU and then the ARS as a counter-revolutionary tactic. Get them to kill off each other, making sure to add enough incentive and weapons to make this possible.

  • Infighting amongst Islamist groups keeps them preoccupied and reduces the very real likelihood of carrying out irredentist threats to Ethiopia, Kenya & Djibouti, all three of which are strong U.S. allies/client states in the region. Think of them as forward operating bases for U.S. military operations and economic "development". Djibouti itself houses an expanding U.S. military base that is critical for U.S. designs for the continent.

  • And the ongoing destabilization of Somalia increases the radicalization of Islamist groups, which, with the right psyops and propaganda campaigns, are manufactured into international terrorists (or "violent extremists"), providing justification for a continued military presence. According to AFRICOM's 2009 posture statement, the combatant command's number one theater strategic objective is to "Defeat the Al-Qaeda terrorist organization and its associated networks," which translates into "deny terrorists ... access to [their] resources".

-- -- --

More reports are starting to show up now on claims -- I cited one earlier -- that weapons delivered recently to the TFG quickly traded hands.

Al Shabaab 'is buying govt weapons'
The business of selling arms at Mogadishu's Cirtoogte ("Sky Shooter") market is brisk.

The weapons that the U.S. government donated to the Somalia’s Transitional Federal Government (TFG) is being sold in the market, according to one trader who asked Garowe Online to be quoted anonymously.

"The TFG weapons on sale are light weapons. We bought the weapons from officers of the TFG at very steep price, and we sell them at higher price because anti-TFG forces such Al Shabaab buy the weapons," says the Cirtoogte market trader.

...

Traders at Cirtoogte market told Garowe Online that the new weapons on sale at the market are from the Villa Somalia presidential palace.

The TFG has not so far commented on allegations that government weapons are on sale at Mogadishu's Cirtoogte gun market.

Allegations that government weapons were being bought by the insurgents could not be independently verified.


In an interview with VOA (available as an MP3 download) for the deceptively-titled article Somali Insurgents Reject Government’s Olive Branch, analyst Ali Abdullahi cites "6,000 AK-47s" that Harakat Al-Shabaab Mujahideen "took" from government forces recently. I have yet to find any source for those numbers.

Abdullahi also confirms that the TFG does not have support amongst "the elite"

Abdullahi said a cross-section of Somalis is refusing to recognize the government.

"There is also organized peaceful party which is being arranged to sort of appeal to the international community as an alternative government because most of the Somali elite don't see this government as representative of them," Abdullahi said.


-- -- --

From a Democracy Now interview w/ the author Jeff Sharlett on his study of the well-connected Christian fundamentalist sect known as "The Family"

AMY GOODMAN: And Siad Barre of Somalia?

JEFF SHARLET: Yeah, dictator of Somalia. It’s, to me, one of the scariest stories that I found in their archives. I was able to recreate this, because they dumped 600 boxes of papers in the Billy Graham archives. Siad Barre was a—not a likely candidate for Christian right recruitment, called himself a Koranic Marxist. But in the early ’80s, the Soviets had abandoned him. There had been a power shift between Somalia and Ethiopia. He was in the market for a new patron. And working through Senator Chuck Grassley, Republican of Iowa, of course still in office—

AMY GOODMAN: Talk more about Chuck Grassley, who certainly is in the news now, who, together with Max Baucus, heads the Senate Finance Committee.

JEFF SHARLET: Yeah.

AMY GOODMAN: Baucus, Democrat; Grassley, Republican. Very powerful figure, especially around healthcare right now.

JEFF SHARLET: Indeed. And Grassley has been involved with the organization for quite some time, since the ’80s, when he traveled to Somalia to join Barre, Siad Barre, in prayer to Jesus. And he brought with him a defense contractor named Bill Brehm.

And Barre was a kind of a cynical character, as you might expect for a dictator. He was very clear. He says, “I’m willing to pray to Jesus, and here’s what I want in return.” He says, “I want my defense budget doubled.” He says, “I want meetings for my officials with the Reagan White House. And I want a sort of a hands-off policy while I crack down on some rebels.” Doug Coe, the leader of the group, wrote back, in essence, “Done, done and done.”

And when we look at history, so it was. And Barre used those weapons, supplied to him in part by the US, to wage a war of almost biblical proportion on his own people, from which Somalia has not recovered to this day. The Family doesn’t consider that a failure; they consider that God’s will for Somalia.

AMY GOODMAN: And more about Grassley? And again, we should say, this is not just a Republican organization. Democrats are also a part. In fact, you talk about Hillary Clinton—

JEFF SHARLET: Yeah, yeah.

AMY GOODMAN: —praying with them.

JEFF SHARLET: I think that’s one of the most important aspects of this. I think, too often, progressives tend to see the Christian right as simply an auxiliary of the Republican Party, whereas the movement, especially through the Family, has recognized that you stay in power not by aligning yourself too closely with one faction, but by having lots of friends. So, Hillary Clinton, Senator Mark Pryor of Arkansas, who was, of course, instrumental in fighting against the Employee Free Choice Act, which would have made unionization much, much easier. He explained to me the Family’s approach to Democratic bipartisanship. He said, “Jesus didn’t come to take sides; He came to take over.” That’s a Democrat speaking. So, Republicans and Democrats working together.

Chuck Grassley, a guy who’s been involved for such a long time. Grassley was involved with the Somalia project throughout the 1980s. They recognize that Somalia, of course, is a nation of great strategic importance, right there on the Horn of Africa. So, even as they are pursuing what they say is a religious agenda, it’s also meshing very neatly with a certain kind of agenda of American expansionist power and oil, frankly.

AMY GOODMAN: And rarely is the devastation of the failed state of Somalia talked about in terms of its history, that the US, for decades, supported this dictator, Siad Barre.

JEFF SHARLET: Yeah, yeah, exactly. The story, for most Americans, begins with George Bush very nobly sending over these troops to fight the warlords. It begins with Black Hawk Down. And we don’t recognize that it was really—I mean, Somalia almost—is almost a purest case possible of US support for an absolutely murderous regime.

In the face of all odds, too. I mean, there’s nothing, it seemed, that Barre could do to dissuade the Family that he was worthy of support, even to the point of insulting Doug Coe, the leader of the group, who used a sad case, the death of his son, wrote to Barre and said, “My son has died today. And as he was dying, he was speaking of you and how important you are.” It was a strange, crass move. Barre didn’t play along. He said, “I never knew your son. But keep the money flowing.” And they did.


-- -- --

President to visit Washington
NAIROBI (Mareeg)—Somalia’s president Sharif Sheik Ahmed is scheduled to officially visit Washington, United States after he got invitation from the US Congress, sources said on Tuesday.

Sources close to office of the president say Senator Donald Payne sent invitation to President Sheik Sharif Sheik Ahmed.

...

High ranking government officials said the president and the foreign minister will visit Washington in this month and will address to American Congress.

This will be the first time that a Somali president gets invitation from the United States since the collapse of Somali central government in 19991.


-- -- --

This is an excerpt from what is allegedly the transcript of a Memorandum of Conversation between Somalia and USA Oct 1976 which featured Hussien Abdulkadir Kassim and Henry Kissinger engaging elsewhere in a bit of political sparring. I point out this section as it provides an indication of how important a reunified nation has been to Somalis.

KISSINGER: You want a part of Ethiopia.

KASSIM: No, we want freedom for the part of Ethiopia which belongs to our people.

KISSINGER: Is that part of Ethiopia inhabited by Somalis and when did it join Ethiopia?

KASSIM: The Ethiopians took the southern portion of their country which was inhabited exclusively by Somalis in 1884. Until 1960 Ethiopians were present in small administrative and military groups. Now they have reinforced their control and the situation is different.

KISSINGER: So you will be hostile until you obtain the rest of your territory.

KASSIM: The other way around. We do not renounce the rights of our people and our nation. We suffer from a colonial situation.

KISSINGER: There are Somalis in northern Kenya. Do you claim Kenyan territory as well?

KASSIM: That is an historical fact. The British Government organized a Province in 1963 for what they called the NorthernFrontierProvince. It had always been administered separately from the rest of Kenya. Eighty-six percent But the British of the population voted to join Somalia decided otherwise, and might made right. We do not blame Kenya because the solution was imposed by a colonial power. We blame Ethiopia more since Ethiopia's act was a deliberate one of colonialism. We have Ethiopian documents proving the point. When the European nations began scrambling for territory in Africa, Menelik II wrote to the colonial powers and said "We also want to get our part." Ethiopia almost overran us in its agression in 1963 and 1964. Had outside powers not intervened, disaster would have befallen both parties.

KISSINGER: There is little we can do about history but as you know, Ethiopia's relations with us are not excessively intimate.


-- -- --

Shabelle Media: Harakat Al-Shabab Mujahideen says they captured weapon sent to two rival clan militias in central Somalia
Harakat Al-shabab Mujahideen officials have said on Thursday that they captured more weapons sent to two rival Somali clan militias who recently fought in central Somalia.

Sheik Ali Mohamud Raghe, the spokesman of Harakat Al-shabab Mujahideen held a press conference for the journalists on Thursday afternoon and said they captured more weapons including automatic and many heavy guns which the government and AMISOM troops sent to the warring clan militias who are fighting in parts of central Somalia.

Sheik Ali Mohamud said that the weapon and ammunition could only increase the level of the fighting between the Somali people who are fighting in central Somalia.

Asked about whether they will continue the fighting in the following holy Ramadan month, the spokesman of Harakat Al-shabab Mujahideen replied that they will redouble their fighting against the transitional government and AMISOM troops.


-- -- --

Two items from EcoTerra International's August 13 Somali Marine & Coastal Monitor alert:
NATURAL RESOURCES & ARMED FISH POACHERS: Foreign navies entering the 200nm EEZ of Somalia and foreign helicopters and troops must respect the fact that especially all wildlife is protected by Somali national as well as by international laws and that the protection of the marine resources of Somalia from illegally fishing foreign vessels should be an integral part of the anti-piracy operations. Likewise the navies must adhere to international standards and not pollute the coastal waters with oil, ballast water or waste from their own ships but help Somalia to fight against any dumping of any waste (incl. diluted, toxic or nuclear waste). So far and though the AU as well as the UN has called since long on other nations to respect the 200 nm EEZ, only now the two countries (Spain and France) to which the most notorious vessels and fleets are linked have come up with a declaration that they will respect the 200 nm EEZ of Somalia but so far not any of the navies operating in the area pledged to stand against illegal fishing. So far not a single illegal fishing vessel has been detained by the naval forces, though they had been even informed about several actual cases, where an intervention would have been possible. Illegally operating Tuna fishing vessels (many from South Korea, some from Greece and China) carry now armed personnel and force their way into the Somali fishing grounds - uncontrolled or even protected by the naval forces mandated to guard the Somali waters against any criminal activity, which included arms carried by foreign fishing vessels in Somali waters.

LLWs / NLWs: According to recently leaked information the anti-piracy operations in the Gulf of Aden are also used as a cover-up for the live testing of recently developed arsenals of so called non-lethal as well as sub-lethal weapons systems. (Pls request details) Neither the Navies nor the UN has come up with any code of conduct in this respect, while the Joint Non-Lethal Weapons Program (JNLWP) is sponsoring several service-led acquisition programs, including the VLAD, Joint Integration Program, and Improved Flash Bang Grenade. Already in use in Somalia are so called Non-lethal optical distractors, which are visible laser devices that have reversible optical effects. These types of non-blinding laser devices use highly directional optical energy. Somalia is also a testing ground for the further developments of the Active Denial System (ADS) Advanced Concept Technology Demonstration (ACTD). If new developments using millimeter wave sources that will help minimize the size, weight, and system cost of an effective Active Denial System which provides "ADS-ACTD-like" repel effects, are used has not yet been revealed. Obviously not only the US is developing and using these kind of weapons as the case of MV MARATHON showed, where a Spanish naval vessel was using optical lasers - the stand-off was then broken by the killing of one of the hostage seafarers. Local observers also claim that HEMI devices, producing Human Electro-Muscular Incapacitation (HEMI) Bioeffects, have been used in the Gulf of Aden against Somalis. Exposure to HEMI devices, which can be understood as a stun-gun shot at an individual over a larger distance, causes muscle contractions that temporarily disable an individual. Research efforts are underway to develop a longer-duration of this effect than is currently available. The live tests are apparently done without that science understands yet the effects of HEMI electrical waveforms on a human body.


-- -- --

Daniel Volman has a commentary up at allAfrica.com:
U.S. Military Holds War Games on Nigeria, Somalia
In May 2008, the United States Army War College in Carlisle, Pennsylvania, hosted "Unified Quest 2008," the army's annual war games to test the American military's ability to deal with the kind of crises that it might face in the near future. "Unified Quest 2008" was especially noteworthy because it was the first time the war games included African scenarios as part of the Pentagon's plan to create a new military command for the continent: the Africa Command or Africom. No representatives of Africom were at the war games, but Africom officers were in close communication throughout the event.

The five-day war games were designed to look at what crises might erupt in different parts of the world in five to 25 years and how the United States might handle them.

...

One of the four scenarios that were war-gamed was a test of how Africom could respond to a crisis in Somalia — set in 2025 — caused by escalating insurgency and piracy. Unfortunately, no information on the details of the scenario is available.

Far more information is available on the other scenario — set in 2013 — which was a test of how Africom could respond to a crisis in Nigeria in which the Nigerian government is near collapse, and rival factions and rebels are fighting for control of the oil fields of the Niger Delta and vying for power in the country which is the sixth largest supplier of America's oil imports.

...

Among scenarios examined during the game were the possibility of direct American military intervention involving some 20,000 U.S. troops in order to "secure the oil," and the question of how to handle possible splits between factions within the Nigerian government. The game ended without military intervention because one of the rival factions executed a successful coup and formed a new government that sought stability.

The recommendations which the participants drew up for the Army's Chief of Staff, General George Casey, do not appear to be publicly available, so we don't know exactly what the participants finally concluded. But we do know that since the war games took place in the midst of the presidential election campaign, General Casey decided to brief both John McCain and Barack Obama on its results.

...

We can only wonder what Barack Obama thought of the war game and what lessons he learned from General Casey's briefing. One might hope that he came away with a new appreciation for the danger, if not the outright absurdity, of pursuing the strategy of unilateral American military intervention in Africa pioneered by Defense Secretary Robert Gates, who was retained as Defense Secretary by President Obama when he took office, and General Casey, who has also kept his job under the new administration.

But President Obama has decided instead to expand the operations of Africom throughout the continent. He has proposed a budget for financial year 2010 that will provide increased security assistance to repressive and undemocratic governments in resource-rich countries like Nigeria, Niger, Chad, the Democratic Republic of Congo, and to countries that are key military allies of the United States like Ethiopia, Kenya, Djibouti, Rwanda and Uganda.

And he has actually chosen to escalate U.S. military intervention in Africa, most conspicuously by providing arms and training to the beleaguered Transitional Federal Government of Somalia, as part of his effort to make Africa a central battlefield in the "global war on terrorism." So it is clearly wishful thinking to believe that his exposure to the real risks of such a strategy revealed by these hypothetical scenarios gave him a better appreciation of the risks that the strategy entails.


-- -- --

This would be interesting if it were to ever actually happen, of which I am quite skeptical - according to the CIA World Factbook, the largest ethnic group in Djibouti is Somali (60%). And check out how each subsequent paragraph increasingly contradicts the headline and first sentence. Soon?

New Vision: Djibouti to deploy troops in Somalia
DJIBOUTI soldiers will soon join their Ugandan and Burundian counterparts on the African Union peacekeeping mission in Somalia.

Djibouti’s foreign affairs minister Mahomoud Ali Youssouf was in Kampala this week to discuss the arrangements with his Ugandan counterpart, Sam Kutesa.

The ministry’s spokesperson, Sam Guma, on Thursday said Djibouti agreed to send troops but did not commit herself to the numbers.

“The ministers explored the possibility of Djibouti contributing towards supporting the Ugandan and Burundian troops that are already keeping peace in Somalia,” he said.

Tuesday, August 4, 2009

Another Somalia Thread

Some recent interesting links on Somalia

The Associated Press reports that the U.S. is sending more weapons into Mogadishu
U.S. officials say the Obama administration plans to go ahead with additional weapons supplies to double an initial provision of 40 tons of arms. The U.S. also has begun a low-profile mission to help train Somali security forces in neighboring Djibouti, said the officials, who spoke on condition of anonymity because of the sensitivities surrounding U.S. involvement in the program.

...

..officials said a second batch of up to 40 tons of new weaponry, added to 40 tons that arrived over the past several months, will come from stockpiles held by African militaries. The United States would pay for it, officials said.

One senior official said the Pentagon, which has a base at Camp Lemonier in Djibouti, is providing facilities such as tents for the training and is assisting with logistics.

Officials say the U.S. military is not conducting the training and will not put any forces in Somalia. The administration is making a concerted effort to avoid putting any American footprint in Somalia, which would risk alienating allies and add to charges by Islamic extremists of a Western takeover.


Uganda's Daily Monitor reports that UPDF troops prepare to attack Somali militants
The United Nations has begun preparing for combat between Somali insurgents and African peacekeepers led by Ugandan troops, Daily Monitor has learnt.

In an interview last week, the Uganda army Land Forces Commander, Lt. Gen. Katumba Wamala, told Daily Monitor they were waiting for a green light from the United Nations and the African Union to launch attacks against the Al Shabab, a group linked to Al Qaeda.

When contacted on Wednesday, however, outgoing Security Council president Ruhakana Rugunda said the proposal to attack the militants—a mandate outside the peacekeeping mission—was yet to be adopted on the Council’s agenda.

“They are still ideas emerging within member states. Formally, it’s not on the agenda yet. But reviewing the mandate African Union mission will be discussed,” Dr Rugunda said in a phone interview from Uganda’s Mission in New York. Gen. Katumba Wamala said more action is necessary but would have to wait for the UN’s permission. “We are yet to get permission from AU and the UN to strike those insurgents. That is the only way we can contain the conflict,” he said, adding: “We don’t want to lose Somalia to those terrorists.”

...

Last week, Defence Minister Crispus Kiyonga told Daily Monitor that the UN is building another base for military supplies in Mombasa in addition to the existing one in Entebbe. The boost in logistics support will also be supplemented with the United Nations Trust Fund.

According to the Kampala government, the recent donors’ conference in Brussels raised pledges as high as $213m (Shs450b) towards the Trust Fund, a clear indication of international support towards the Mission.

Initially, the Trust Fund was not applied to supporting Amisom because funding was needed elsewhere to meet requirements not supported by major bilateral contributors. The United Nations Security Council recently approved a UN logistical support package to Amisom including equipment and services amounting to $72m (Shs152b).

Dr Rugunda said all the efforts by the UN and the UN Security Council are signals for a major assault against the Al Shabab fighters. He also reported that the UPDF and Burundian troops would only attack the Somalis after the mission is taken by the UN.

But the chairman of the Defence and Internal Affairs committee of Parliament, MP Mathias Kasamba (Kakuuto, NRM), has said such an operation would have to be approved by Parliament. “Once those international bodies agree, UPDF will have to get our approval before they can go ahead,” he said.


Meanwhile, FDC wants UPDF out of Somalia
The opposition Forum for Democratic Change party is demanding for the immediate return of the UPDF soldiers who are on a peace keeping mission in the troubled state of Somalia.

The FDC leader Rtd Colonel Dr. Kiiza Besigye says that soldiers are no longer involved in peace keeping but are now part of a dubious civil war.

The party's demands come after reports that over 30 UPDF soldiers who are part of the peace keeping mission were last week attacked by a strange disease and flown to Nairobi for emergency treatment. The disease was later identified as a bacterial infection known as leptospirosis caused by rat’s urine.

The African Union Peace Keeping Mission (Amisom) dismissed claims that the soldiers had been poisoned by the Islamists fundamentalists, Al Shabaab who are opposed to the interim government in Somalia and the peace-keeping mission. Other peacekeepers from Burundi, four of whom died were also infected.

Besigye while addressing journalists today at the party headquarters in Najjanankumbi says the UPDF is now locked up in the conflict and being used by foreign countries to serve selfish interests. He says the government needs to refocus its interests on peace keeping and not serving foreign interests.


The New Vision coverage adds some actual quotes from Besigye:
“As FDC, we opposed the deployment of UPDF in Somalia. There was no way they were going to keep peace when there is no peace in Somalia,” he said at the party’s weekly press briefing at Najjanankumbi yesterday.

“Rather than keeping peace they were sucked into civil war. There is ample evidence that the UPDF supplied arms to one of the warring factions and that is why we are saying they should return home.”


New Vision also reports on Monday 23 more UPDF flown to Kenya
TWENTY-THREE more Ugandan soldiers serving on the African Union mission in Somalia have been evacuated to Nairobi for treatment after they got infected by a waterborne disease that hit the peacekeepers’ camp in Mogadishu last week.

This brings to 40 the number of Ugandans airlifted to Kenya following the outbreak of the disease that has so far killed one UPDF soldier and four Burundians.

According to the Army spokesman, Lt. Col Felix Kulayigye, the 23 soldiers were evacuated on Friday morning to a hospital in Nairobi. However, he said, 11 of the earlier group had been discharged and flown back to Mogadishu.

...

Over 50 Burundians have also been affected. By last week, four had died.


Biyokulule Online republishes a report from the Indian Ocean Newsletter last month under the title American spies to learn Tigrinya
The proposed budget that the American intelligence services have put to Congress includes provision for learning African languages.

The Intelligence Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2010, which brings the estimated budgetary needs of the American intelligence community before the US Congress, includes a particularly original element. Indeed, clause 314 of the bill asks the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), Dennis C. Blair, who is the security advisor to President Barack Obama, to devise a pilot project for learning five new African languages, with a budget of € 2 million. This programme will use intensive immersion instruction in both the USA and the African countries where the respective languages are spoken. The intent of the programme is “to begin building capability in African languages spoken in areas where US national security interests may be affected, but where insufficient instructional capability exists in the United States”.

Two of the languages covered in this programme concern countries in Western and Central Africa: Haussa, mostly found in the north of Nigeria and the south of Niger; and Kituba, spoken in the Republic of Congo and the Democratic Republic of the Congo. The other three languages concern East African countries: Somali, Amharic and Tigrinya. Somali is mainly spoken in Somalia, but also in part of north-eastern Kenya, south-eastern Ethiopia and Djibouti. Amharic is the official working language in Ethiopia. Finally, Tigrinya is spoken in the northern region (Tigray) and the peoples living in the high plateaux in Eritirea. A dangerous region!


And, how long before the Disney ride?

Boat in Maersk Alabama Somali piracy case to be displayed in Florida
FORT PIERCE, Fla. -- A St. Lucie County museum is getting an artifact at the center of one of the year's biggest stories.

The National Navy UDT-SEAL Museum in Fort Pierce says it will permanently display the 28-foot lifeboat used in the hijacking of the cargo ship Maersk Alabama in April.

That ship was taken hostage off the coast of Somalia. The captain of the ship was held in the lifeboat until nearby Navy SEALs pulled off a heroic rescue.

The lifeboat is scheduled to be unveiled Aug. 14.


Lifeboat used in April hijacking of cargo ship off Somali coast to be part of National Navy UDT-SEAL Museum
“I think it is dynamite for this community,” said Vero Beach resident and retired Navy SEAL Jim Watson.

...

“It is not often that we get something this timely and relevant to current events around the world,” museum curator Ruth McSween said in a news release.

Getting the lifeboat had been on the mind of museum executive director Michael Howard shortly after Phillips was rescued.

In April, Howard said he wanted the vessel or other mementos of the historic event.

“This is a treasure, and not only does it drive home what the SEALs are about, it puts thing is a modern context, which makes it more culturally relevant to our younger visitors,” Howard said in a news release.


Lifeboat involved in Somali pirate attack to visit Norfolk
A lifeboat that made international headlines in a high-profile pirate attack will be on exhibit at Nauticus this fall.

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Rolf Johnson, deputy director of Nauticus, said it was a no-brainer to add the story to “Real Pirates,” an exhibit being planned.

“This was front page news around the world,” he said. He negotiated with Maersk officials to bring the boat to Nauticus, where John Reinhart, president and CEO of Maersk Line, happens to serve on the board of directors.

Originally, the exhibit was going to focus on the Whydah – a pirate ship that sank off the coast of Cape Cod, Mass., nearly 300 years ago. Now, the two stories will be incorporated to give the exhibit a blend of historic and modern piracy.

It’s not clear how the lifeboat will fit into the exhibit, Johnson said, but the most important thing is that people understand who pirates are and what they do.

“We want people to know that piracy is still occurring today, and it is a criminal offense,” he said. “People’s families are in harm’s way every day, patrolling the waters looking for pirates.”

The lifeboat already has a permanent home at the National Navy UDT-SEAL Museum in Florida. Nauticus must return the boat there next year when the exhibit is over.

The boat will arrive in Norfolk complete with the bullet holes and other remnants of the attack, Johnson said. When the exhibit opens Nov. 21, visitors will be able to walk up to the boat and peek inside, but no one will be allowed in.

“This is a marvelous way to engage people in Hampton Roads about real pirates,” Johnson said. “It’s beyond Johnny Depp and Disney – this is not a fairy tale.”


Sure. As documented previously, the media & official narratives were full of fantasy and deception, which the exhibits will likely continue to advance. After thwarting negotiations with local elders and family members, the U.S. Navy actually had to tow the lifeboat back toward open sea in order to make the opportunity to fulfill their plan to kill those three.

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from the august 06 DoS press briefing transcript


QUESTION: During the campaign, both Secretary Clinton and President Obama criticized the previous administration’s Somalia policy, and I’m trying to see what the difference is now. She’s been talking about more support for the transitional government. She hasn’t been specific enough. There were things done in terms of peacekeeping, in terms of Eritrea and Ethiopia in the past several years. Former Assistant Secretary Jendayi Frazer has been criticized for what – some of the things that she did, some of the comments she made. So what is new about U.S. policy on Somalia that’s different from what it was in the previous administration?

MR. WOOD: Well, this Administration has made extremely clear that the Transitional Federal Government in Somalia is really the best hope that we have right now for restoring stability to not only Somalia, but to the Horn region. Much of the instability from the Horn – in the Horn region is because of what’s going on in Somalia. We’re providing the Transitional Federal Government with ammunition and weapons to support the efforts of the government to try to provide security.

I hate to get into comparing one government with the other, but this government has demonstrated by the Secretary’s meeting with President Sheikh Ahmed that the United States is committed to trying to improve the situation on the ground in Somalia, not just for the purpose of improving the life of Somalis in the region, but we’re very concerned about a number of problems that are flowing from Somalia, including the issue of piracy. And the Somali people have been without stable government, peace, and security for way too long, and so we and others in the international community are going to try to work to do what we can to support the government in Somalia.

It really is right now the best hope for Somalia, and we all need to give it as much support as we can.

QUESTION: Can you – can you update us on any efforts of the UN in terms of sanctions or any penalties for Eritrea if it continues to support the terrorist group there?

MR. WOOD: Yeah. I don’t have any update for you in terms of what may or may not be happening at the UN, but we have said over and again that we want to see the Eritrean Government stop providing support, weapons to al-Shabaab. And we’re going to continue to call on the Government of Eritrea to do that, and we encourage other governments to do that as well. Feeding weapons to al-Shabaab just furthers instability in the region, it furthers terrorism, and it’s important that we – that they cut off the supply of weapons to al-Shabaab.

QUESTION: Do you feel that other countries in the region have not been as helpful as they could be to – you can’t resolve this easily, but to address this issue? Because it seems that you’ve been saying all these things for months, if not years, and except for the Eritrea-Ethiopia involvement and the peacekeepers who are not authorized to do much in Somalia, not many African countries are involved in this.

MR. WOOD: Well, let me just say, Nick, I think certainly there is a lot more that countries can do, including the United States. And I think we’re going to try to see what more we can do. We’re providing a certain amount, as I said, of weapons and ammunition. We may decide we may try to increase that number – that amount – at some point.

But look, it’s – the problems in Somalia are problematic for not just the region, but for the globe, frankly. And it’s incumbent upon all of us to reach down and see what more we can do.

QUESTION: On the ammunition and the arms –

QUESTION: Do you have anything – on the same change subject?

QUESTION: Just on the ammunition and the arms, real quick. The Secretary talked about increasing it today, and there was a line in an AP story saying that that’s going to be doubled from what an official told us a couple months ago was 40 tons – 40 million tons. Was it 40 tons? 40 tons.

MR. WOOD: Yeah, 40 tons.

QUESTION: 40 tons – I mixed up dollars and tons there.

MR. WOOD: That’s all right.

QUESTION: Forty tons to about 80 or so. Is that your understanding of what’s going to happen?

MR. WOOD: Well, look, we’re in the process of trying to make sure that we can get the 40 tons of equipment to the TFG. Obviously, should we feel the need, and we may indeed do that – but I don’t want to get ahead of where we are right now. We’re in the process of delivering that 40 million – excuse me, 40 million – 40 tons to the government.

QUESTION: (Inaudible.)

MR. WOOD: (Inaudible.)

QUESTION: (Inaudible) million tons, and before you know it, you have a lot of tons.

MR. WOOD: Right, exactly.

QUESTION: Can you flesh out at all her threat on the trip to seek sanctions against Eritrea for supporting that group?

MR. WOOD: Well, I mean --

QUESTION: Who’s doing it? What are they doing wrong with this –

MR. WOOD: Well, they’re funneling weapons and giving support to al-Shabaab. And we’ve said we want that to stop. And the Secretary is frustrated, as all of us in the government are, with what Eritrea’s been doing, and we want to see them stop and we’ll continue to push them to stop. Because it’s not only – as I said, not only in the interests of Somalia, but for the region. And we just don’t want to see terrorism spread further. We need to deal with the root causes of what’s going on in Somalia so that these issues like piracy and terrorism don’t continue. And Eritrea can contribute to stability by cutting off funds, weapons, et cetera, to al-Shabaab.

QUESTION: Do you have any -- well, that’s an answer, of course. Do you have any –

MR. WOOD: Thanks, Barry. (Laughter.)

QUESTION: No, can you provide any particulars?

MR. WOOD: Not beyond what I said.

QUESTION: -- of the assistance?

MR. WOOD: Not beyond what I’ve just said.

Let me – someone else.

QUESTION: On Somalia?

MR. WOOD: Still on Somalia? Please.

QUESTION: There was a report this week that Washington hosted a conference for former Somali generals to discuss the military situation there. Are you aware of this? Do you have a readout?

MR. WOOD: I heard reports about that, but you probably should check over at the Pentagon. The Pentagon might have had something to do with that. I’m not familiar.

Yes, sir.

...

QUESTION: One more --

MR. WOOD: Sure.

QUESTION: That same article that talked about doubling the aid, it also discusses that the U.S., which I assume would go through the State Department, has been quietly training some Somali forces near Djibouti. Is that true as well?

MR. WOOD: I don’t want to get into the actual details beyond what I’ve said about the type of support we’re providing to Somalia. But we are obviously going to look for ways that we can help support that government to eventually bring stability to that region, which is an important U.S. foreign policy goal.

QUESTION: Should we take that as a yes?

MR. WOOD: I gave you the answer that I have. Sorry.


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latest analysis from prof. weinstein

The Armed Opposition vs. AMISOM
Both sides – AMISOM and the armed opposition – are frozen in place; it is not the T.F.G. that the armed opposition wants to defeat but its protectors. The T.F.G. has already been defeated.

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What is to become of AMISOM? The armed opposition expects it to be worn down and weakened so as to become vulnerable to attack. The international coalition is unlikely either to back up its rhetoric with muscle or to pull the plug on the T.F.G., thereby prolonging a stop-gap measure until AMISOM cannot or will not take it anymore.