Saturday, July 30, 2011

Somalia thread for the week ending July 31

Shabelle Media: 20 killed, 35 hurt in fierce Mogadishu battle
At least 20 people have killed and 35 others injured after bitter combat between Somali government forces backed by African Union peacekeeping troops and Al shabaab fighters broke out in al Shabaab controlled parts of Mogadishu, witnesses said on Thursday.

...

Somali government soldiers and AMISOM forces managed to penetrate into more territories based by Al shabaab including Florence junction, Hamar Bille neighborhood and parts of Bakaara market and its vicinities.

Somali military officials told the Media that government forces allied with AU troops and Ahlu Sunna forces made huge gains.

The officials said they inflicted incalculable and irretrievable losses on Al shabaab, killing dozens of them.

Somali president, Sheikh Sharif Sheikh Ahmed, said his forces made more advances in Mogadishu, urging them to keep on their combat battles against Al shabaab.

For his part, Abdi-Aziz Abu Mus’ab, the spokesman of Al shabaab said their fighters had come under attack from what he dubbed as African Crusaders and apostate soldiers of Somali government.

RBC: Mogadishu battle death toll rises
At least 25 people were killed while more than 50 others wounded in Somalia capital on Thursday after heavy battle broke out between government forces with the backing of African Union troops [AMISOM] and Al-Shabab rebels.

...

..a spokesman of Al-Shabab group, Sheikh Abdiasis abu Mus’ab denied that any position was taken over from Al-Shabab saying that his fighters pushed back the government forces and AMISOM.

“They always tell lies. They were defeated in the fighting and we are proud that our fighters shown bitter battle to these crusaders”. He told the media in phone interview.

Ali Musse of the Mogadishu ambulance service told RBC Radio on Thursday night that they carried 40 wounded people to the hospital and were mostly civilians.

Meanwhile heavy fire destroyed business building in Suk Ba’ad market, the second largest market in Mogadishu. Eye witnesses told RBC Radio that the fire came as heavy shelling pounded in the market.

Somalia Report:
Eyewitnesses confirmed to Somalia Report that a mortar hit Hiliwaa district, an insurgent stronghold, killing seven residents including three from one family who were shredded by the explosion. More mortars landed in the district injuring nine people, mainly women and children.

“It was a horrible and terrifying incident. Three people from one family died in one place. We believe that the mortars were coming from AMISOM bases in Mogadishu,” Ibrahim Gadaaley, a resident in Hiliwaa district, told Somalia Report. “We carried more than ten injured civilians to the hospital who were not even part of the fight. What has AMISOM done?”

Another mortar hit in Dharkinley district of Mogadishu, a government stronghold, killing two civilian and injuring six others.

Ahmed Daaacd, one of the nurses of Keysanney Hospital, told Somalia Report that they received 15 injured people and three of them died in the hospital.

...

AMISOM confirmed that al-Shabaab burned one of their tanks on Friday morning.

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Meanwhile yesterday’s fighting between government forces and al-Shabaab has badly affected communication and the community at large by destroying popular business centers.

Residents of Mogadishu told Somalia Report that Somalia’s largest internet network, Global Internet Service, has been out of service since Thursday after TFG troops seized the compound of the company in Bakara Market.

Danan Radio, an FM station in Mogadishu, is also out of service for the second day. Officials from the radio station told Somalia Report that they can’t go back on air due to the heavy fighting in the surrounding area.

...

Witness told Somalia Report that some of the business centers in Bakara and Suuq-bacaad markets have been destroyed by the heavy shelling.

“Wiif business center, Nation link center (Suuq-bacaad branch), and Gargaar business center were all destroyed by the mortars,” said Hassan Nuh, a resident in Yaaqshid district. Speaking to the government troops in Wardhigley district of Mogadishu, the Deputy Chief Commander of Somali National Forces, Genera Abdihakin Yusuf Dhego Badan, ordered his troops in Mogadishu to eliminate the insurgents from the capital before the Islamic Eid begins in early September.

AP:
A medical official at Mogadishu airport said wounded AU peacekeepers were to be evacuated by airplane to Nairobi, the capital city of neighboring Kenya, to be treated of injuries they sustained in the fighting. He spoke on condition of anonymity because he is not authorized to speak with the press. An Associated Press reporter watched as three wounded soldiers were put in a small jet for the flight.

[Lt. Col. Paddy Ankunda] said he could confirm only that two AU troops had been wounded.

Somalia Report:
witnesses said four soldiers from the African Union and eleven from the government were killed when an AMISOM mortar shell accidentally hit its own forces at the Sinai junction. “There were many journalists from local and international media, and the TFG invited us to see the bases that they captured from the insurgent," one witness told Somalia Report. "Unexpectedly a huge shell hit a place not far from us, I saw with my own eyes four AMISOM troops and 11 TFG soldiers die.”

General Abdihakin Yusuf Aden Dhego Badan, the deputy commander of the Somali national forces confirmed the event, but denied the casualties were caused by friendly fire.

Badan said that further actions were planned against al-Shabaab bases in Mogadishu, naming Mogadishu Stadium, Towfiik, Huriwaa and Suuqa-xoolaha.

AP:
The AU troops also paid a heavy price, with one official saying 19 were wounded, and some of them were put on an ambulance jet bound for Kenya.

As that last link illustrates, Ankunda has fed the press the hard-to-swallow cover story that Thursday's offensive was to clear space for aid workers under the assumption that H.S.M. may try to prevent the delivery of humanitarian supplies within Mogadishu.
The offensive, he said, was to ensure the city streets are safe for aid groups to get humanitarian supplies to the more than 20,000 famine refugees that have arrived in Mogadishu this month alone.

“The agencies have been trying to deliver. Unfortunately, al-Shabab has been bent on ensuring this aid does not reach the people,” Ankunda said. “This operation is about the delivery of humanitarian aid.”

...

African Union intelligence reports have indicated there could be attacks on Mogadishu’s patchwork of ad-hoc refugee camps.

In an AMISOM press release on Thursday, Ankunda (apparently) quotes himself stating that
"We fear that they may attack internally displaced persons in Mogadishu, who are still in range of Al Shabaab mortars and indirect fire."

From Wednesday's Somalia Report: Al-Shabaab Plans New Ramadan Offensive
Despite the failure of last year’s Ramadan offensive and a recent lull in fighting, militant Islamist group al-Shabaab is sending new troops to Mogadishu for another offensive during the Muslim holy month, which begins August 1.

As many as 2,000 troops could flood the city in an attempt to regain ground lost this year to government forces and the African Union peacekeeping force (known as AMISOM), although top al-Shabaab officials gave Somalia Report conflicting figures.

“We have not attacked in the past few months since we were busy within,” Sheikh Mukhtar Robow (Abu Mansoor), former al-Shabaab spokesman and now military commander, told Somalia Report, possibly referring to internal divisions within the group.

“But we are going to give the infidels and the non-believers a true taste of Jihad come the holy blessed month of Ramadan,” he added by telephone from the insurgent stronghold of Baidoa.

...

AMISOM Spokesman Major Paddy Ankunda, speaking from the Halane military base in Mogadishu, told Somalia Report the peacekeeping forces were aware of the plans...

UNHCR:
UNHCR is concerned about the protection of civilians in the Somali capital amid renewed fighting between pro- and anti-government forces. An offensive on Thursday by pro-government forces in and around the important Bakara and Balcad markets has increased the risk for Mogadishu's citizens as well as the estimated 100,000 internally displaced people (IDP) who have fled drought and famine in neighbouring regions in recent months.

UNHCR staff in Mogadishu were confined to their compound as a result of the outbreak of fighting in Wardhiglleey district mid-morning. Many inhabitants had already fled the area in recent months due to previous heavy fighting.

AP:
The AU offensive that began Thursday has seen AU troops move up the east side of Mogadishu's largest market — Bakara. The troops now control three sides of the market — the west, south and east — and AU force spokesman Lt. Col. Paddy Ankunda said Friday that the gains mean that tactically speaking the AU essentially controls the market.

Forces are now moving toward the city's large sports stadium, from which al-Shabab fires artillery, Ankunda said.

Mareeg Online: Shabaab claims victory over past day
Islamist group of Shabaab has on Friday claimed victory over yesterday between them and Somali national army backed by the African union peacekeeping in Mogadishu , reports said.

Spokesman of Shabab Sheikh Ali Mohamud Rage Sh. Ali Dhere told their forces reached victories over past day saying they have killed number of African soldiers, burned one tank and captured military equipment, reports said.

Ali held press conference in the capital Mogadishu late today warning AU forces of what he called naked aggressive attacks against Mujahidins.

Mareeg Online: Nightfall shells kill 4, injuries 13 in Mogadishu
The warring sides exchanged mortar shells in the Mogadishu last night killing 4 and injuring 13 others in north and south of the capital, reports said.

4 of the dead and 5 of the injuries occurred in Karan district, north Mogadishu while 8 others wounded in Kahshika village in Dharkenlay district south the capital, reports said.

All the dead and injuries are reported to have civilians sleeping in their homes.

RBC:
An eye witness in Karan district on the north told RBC Radio that artillery shelling pounded in their village near Jungal where two people were killed.

One of the dead was a woman, residents confirmed.

Six persons from one family were wounded in Kahda location of Mogadishu outskirts after artillery shelling pounded their home during the night.

Meanwhile a health officer in Daynile hospital told RBC Radio that they have received several other wounded people on Friday morning.

The AMISOM spokesperson did not comment on the bombardment of the civilian populated locations when in contact with RBC Radio.

Beyond the heavy shelling there had been sporadic gun fire between the warring sides in the capital that can be heard on Friday morning which brought no details of its casualties.

At least 25 were killed and nearly 50 wounded in fierce gun battle which erupted in the capital on Thursday, officials of Mogadishu ambulance service told RBC Radio.

And continuing w/ an earlier Somalia Report link,
Residents in Wardhiigley district told Somalia Report that fighting erupted on Friday after al-Shabaab launched a fierce counter attack around Ali-kamiin conjunction and General Da’ud road, which were seized by AMISOM-TFG forces on Thursday.

“The intensity is very high and we are are very fearful. The bullets are falling on our houses and no one can go out,” said Anisa Haji, a resident in Laba-dhagah village of Mogadishu. ”We don't even have a chance to flee the area. We are still in the houses we entered two days ago.”

The number of casualties were unclear as the fighting is spreading to other areas like Laba-dhagah-village, Hamar-bile, Hamar-jadiid, Baar-Ayaan and Furayaasha.

A witness in the insurgent stronghold district of Suqa-Holaha, told Somalia Report that he saw the bodies of six AMISOM soldiers being dragged by al-Shabaab fighters from place to place.

“After the evening prayers, a vehicle carrying six bodies of AMISOM troops arrived the village and the people started to drag the bodies from place to other,” said Kafi Omar.

Although the fighting slowed down late on Friday, residents in Mogadishu fear that clashes that will erupt in the capital at any time due to the extremely tense situation.

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There have been way too many media stories misleadingly informing readers that Al Shabaab have blocked all humanitarian aid to areas under their control.

For example, DemocracyNow on Thursday reported that "Some 2.2 million Somalis residing in areas controlled by the militant group al-Shabab remain cut off from international aid."

Some of those links above state the same thing, some almost literally, such as the AP's claim that "Some 2.2 million people live in an inaccessible famine zone controlled by the al-Qaida-linked al-Shabab".

This is not true, as documented in last week's thread. Only a ban on specific outfits -- singled out for reasons ranging from hampering local agricultural harvest and market activities to too close of an affiliation w/ the USG and other destabilizing agents to Christian proselytizing -- remains in place.

From a Unicef press release on Friday:
To reach children as quickly as possible, UNICEF, along with its partners, has mounted a massive scale up of its operation and is using all avenues available to get supplies into the region. So far this month, the child rights’ agency has brought in enough supplementary feeding supplies for 65,000 children in the drought affected regions of Southern Somalia. These supplies are being distributed by partners on the ground.

Three flights to Mogadishu, two to Galkayo, and a flight to Baidoa, as well as two ships to Mogadishu have delivered life-saving nutritional commodities. The supplies included a total amount of 653 metric tons of Corn Soya Blend, a nutritious food, enough to feed more than 65,000 vulnerable children, and about 230 metric tons of therapeutic food to treat 16,000 severely malnourished children. Most of these nutritional supplies have already reached children in Mogadishu and the regions of Gedo, Middle Juba, Lower Juba, Bay and Lower Shabelle in southern Somalia.

UNICEF plans to further boost its supply pipeline to support the existing 325 supplementary feeding centers, 16 stabilization centers and 201 outpatient therapeutic feeding centers as well as expand outreach services to reach children in remote areas.

...

“Although we have challenges, we are reaching children. For instance, this week, our partners were able to reach 3,550 children with a combination of Corn Soya Blend and ready-to-use therapeutic food in hard-to-reach areas in Qansadheere, Bay region,” said [Rozanne Chorlton, UNICEF Somalia Representative].

...

UNICEF estimates it will need USD $117 million over the next six months to reach children in all of Somalia’s drought affected areas in the south with emergency and preventative assistance.

Being the single largest agency delivering therapeutic and supplementary nutrition services in Somalia, UNICEF works through a partnership with about 60 non-governmental organizations in the South.

One of those banned agencies is, of course, the WFP, whose website declares to be "the world's largest humanitarian agency fighting hunger". The genesis of the WFP was US Food for Peace (PL 480) and the USG remains by far its largest donor.

A quick background on PL 480 -

From Raj Patel's Stuffed and Starved: The Hidden Battle for the World Food System
On 10 July, 1954, President Eisenhower signed Public Law 480, the Agricultural Trade Development and Assistance Act of 1954, more commonly known as PL-480. While the language of the act ennobled its goal with terms of international camaraderie, PL-480 was a cunning and powerful foreign policy tool. Any US-aligned government that found itself battling worker-led organizing or, indeed, any plausibly left-wing political opposition could gain access to the US strategic grain reserve. Those countries abutted by socialist ones were bumped to the front of the queue.

And so food aid became a central part of US foreign policy, accounting for more than half of all economic aid by 1956. Between 1956 and 1960 more than one-third of the world trade in wheat was accounted for by American aid. The world price of wheat was kept artificially low through food aid, hurting growers, but hooking countries of the Global South on US largesse. In 1968, the Global South's addiction for American goods peaked - 79 per cent of all US exports went to the "Third World." It was an agenda fully subscribed to by the US. Earl Butz, Secretary of State for Agriculture under Nixon and Ford, observed: "Hungry men listen only to those who have a piece of bread. Food is a tool. It is a weapon in the US negotiating kit."

From L.S. Stavrianos'Global Rift: The Third World Comes of Age
...the impact of the Food for Peace program on Third World agriculture. Close to $30 billion worth of food was distributed by this program to over 130 countries between 1954 and 1980. Most Americans assume that this aid represents a humanitarian enterprise in support of needy peoples. In fact, the 1954 Agricultural Trade and Development Act (Public Law 480) was designed specifically to "improve the foreign relations of the United States" and to "promote the economic stability of American agriculture and the national welfare." Not until 1961 was the law's statement of purpose amended to include the goal of combating world hunger.

The need to buttress "the stability of American agriculture" was so urgent after the Korean War that the president of the American Farm Bureau warned that the accumulation food surpluses "will wreck our economy unless we can find sufficient markets to sustain the volume of production." So successful was P.L. 480 in finding the needed markets that during the first twelve years of the program, one fourth of all U.S. agricultural exports were financed by the law's easy credit terms. But the flood of U.S. food lowered food prices in the recipient countries to the point where local farmers were unable to compete. The net result was the undermining of local food production and increased reliance on U.S. food imports. This pattern was reinforced by trade associations representing the U.S. food industry, which encouraged local populations to adopt American-style eating habits, using P.L. 480 local currencies to promote their campaigns. Hence the growing shift from fish to hamburgers, from rice to bread and from local to American soft drinks.

The success of P.L. 480 not only expanded U.S. markets at the expense of Third World self-sufficiency in food but also realized the law's other objective - to "improve the foreign relations of the United States." Senator Hubert Humphrey, one of the earliest champions of the Food for Peace program, explicitly recognized and lauded this achievement before a Senate committee (1957):
I have heard ... that people may become dependent on us for food. I know that was not supposed to be good news. To me, that was good news, because before people can do anything they have got to eat. And if you are looking for a way to get people to lean on you and be dependent on you, in terms of cooperation with you, it seems to me that food dependence would be terrific.
Precisely the viewpoint was expressed by Reagan's Secretary of Agriculture, John Block, during his confirmation hearing (1980): "Food is a weapon but the way to use that is to tie countries to us. That way they'll be far more reluctant to upset us." Because of adverse publicity, Block several days later changed his terminology, if not his views, by terming food "a tool for peace."

Back to the present...

From a PBS NewsHour interview w/ WFP director Josette Sheeran
NewsHour: I want to ask you about another complexion that I have seen raised, which is the U.S. anti-terror laws that restrict aid from going to a place like Somalia, where there is -- it might get into the hands of Al-Shabab now. How much has that been a factor, and do you think that perhaps, even temporarily, such restrictions need to be lifted at this point?

Josette Sheeran: Well, given the life-and-death situation, United States now has really encouraged us to get into all the areas in Somalia we can, where we can provide assurances that we're reaching the people most in need.

And so the U.S. has contributed $60 million to help the people in Somalia. And we're now reaching some of the areas that now are newly accessible. But also in the north and center, we can reach, again, over 1.5 million people.

This support is vital. And, again, we're airlifting in these nutritional products for children with the support of the U.S.

From Time's blog
Challiss McDonough, the World Food Programme's senior spokesperson for east, central and southern Africa, said that her U.N.-affiliated organization will need to take charge of feeding 11.6 million people in the region after the worst drought in decades devastated at least five countries. In Mogadishu alone, the WFP feeds over 300,000 people each day, but many of the areas in the southern part of the country may never be reachable for aid workers as the Islamist group Al-Shabaab has largely barred humanitarian efforts for the past year and a half.

...

The first food delivery since the U.N. declared an official Somalian famine arrived by airlift on July 27. Ten tons of nutrition-supplemented peanut-based paste was flown into Mogadishu from Kenya, and McDonough said there are several more planned deliveries in coming weeks. Once food arrives, the WFP largely outsources distribution to other NGOs and sometimes local government, but the organization employs "rigorous monitoring and controls" to ensure that the food is reaching its intended targets, McDonough said. This means that WFP staff will occasionally visit sites to make sure that the food is not wasted.

...

As deliveries are coordinated, WFP organizers are also scrambling to secure sufficient funds to continue feeding the millions going hungry in the region. Combining food, delivery and staffing costs, the WFP estimates that it is currently facing a $300 million shortfall. Funds are coming in, McDonough said, especially after the U.N. declared an official famine last week, but these will not provide a quick fix to the crisis. McDonough estimated that the organization requires a minimum of two months to turn donations into direct aid and, more often than not, the process takes between four and six months.

DOS Fact Sheet:
The U.S. is one of the largest donors of humanitarian assistance to the region, providing approximately $459 million this fiscal year to help those in need. This funding supports humanitarian assistance to refugees, internally displaced persons (IDPs), and other drought affected populations, and builds near and longer term food security. Because emergency assistance will not solve the underlying long-term problems in the region, the U.S. Government is also working on comprehensive responses, such as through the President’s Feed the Future initiative.

...

Over a month ago, the United States contributed approximately 19,000 metric tons of food aid to the U.N. World Food Program (WFP) for Somalia. It is being drawn down now from prepositioned stocks in the region. This week, the United States announced it is providing an additional $21 million contribution to WFP in Somalia to benefit those in need of food assistance. Another $5 million to WFP was also announced for refugees in Kenya, bringing the total this year that the U.S. has provided to $69.6 million in food assistance for the more than 211,000 refugees in Ethiopia and 507,000 refugees in Kenya. Since September 2010, the U.S. Government has provided $20 million to WFP in Kenya for the purchase of up to 37,000 metric tons of regionally-grown corn.

The U.S.-funded Famine Early Warning Systems Network (FEWS NET) and Food Security and Nutrition Analysis Unit (FSNAU), which the United States supports, have maintained a strong presence in the region for decades, enabling the humanitarian community to identify conditions based on an extensive analysis of historical and current rainfall, cropping patterns, livestock health, market prices and malnutrition rates. FEWS NET’s early warning of the crisis in the Horn of Africa has allowed the United States to alert other donors and to make sizeable, early food aid contributions and scale up emergency programs to meet the increasing needs in the region.

President Obama’s Feed the Future initiative — which helps address the root causes of hunger and undernutrition — is critical at this time. Increasing the resiliency and further developing the capacity of pastoralists to engage in a commercially viable livestock trade is crucial to breaking the disaster cycle across the Horn. By working with other donors and governments in the region, Feed the Future will increase overall agricultural production as well as increase the resiliency of pastoralists who suffer most acutely from the effects of the drought.

From an interview w/ USAID administrator Rajiv Shah at Foreign Policy magazine dated Thursday July 28:
FP: What are the biggest problems for getting aid to the worst effected people in Somalia?

RS: The United States has been overall the largest responder, providing nearly $460 million of support and reaching nearly 4.5 million people, helping most of those people avoid falling into a condition of famine -- which is a very specific condition defined by the number of child deaths -- 2 child deaths per 10,000 per day related to food insecurity. We've been doing that in parts of Kenya, Ethiopia, and Somalia -- in areas where there has been enough humanitarian access to be able to get that done. It's no coincidence that the areas the U.N. declared as meeting the definition of famine were precisely those parts of south and central Somalia that have been under al Shabab control and where humanitarian access has been limited by Shabab over the past several months to years. But now we are taking Shabab at their word -- they are saying publicly that they are going to allow humanitarian access -- so the entire global community is testing that proposition by seeking to get to, and provide services in, the most inflicted areas.

FP: How would the United States be able to do that since there are very strict Treasury Department rules that say no U.S. government money can be spent on projects if there is any risk that it will "materially benefit" a terrorist organization [which is how the United States defines al Shabab]?

RS: Well, we have made the determination and I have made the determination that Shabab has offered legitimate humanitarian access -- based on their statements and based on a negotiation led by the United Nations special representative in the region. Based on that, where there is humanitarian access, we are providing support through the World Food Program, UNICEF, and so many other partners to be able to serve people who otherwise will starve to death. That's important and we're being very aggressive in trying to reach vulnerable populations, wherever there is some degree of effective access and we're basically testing that proposition.

FP: How are we [sic] testing it? Are we [sic] actually able to get into those areas?

RS: Well, we're getting into some. And the World Food Program and UNICEF and other U.N. partners are working with local NGOs -- and some of the larger international NGOs are essentially expanding their presence into Somalia to reach more acutely effected communities in south and central Somalia. And we're collectively providing them with food and financial resources and medical support to conduct that expanded humanitarian operation.

...

We have an expectation that Shabab will live up to its public word and allow unfettered humanitarian access for the purpose of saving these lives.

FP: If they don't -- and there seems to be divisions and debate within the organization -- is there any way to get aid to people in those areas by going around the group? Or is that not possible?

RS: It's quite variable across different parts of south and central Somalia. We know there are ways to provide humanitarian support that are relatively more protected than others...

FP: Such as?

RS: How you manage convoy transport and providing vouchers so people can use local markets to obtain critically needed food. And reduce the size and scope of big visible convoys. So, there are a number of different strategies that are employed. But the bottom line is they do have to allow effective humanitarian access.
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Irish Times: Irish colonel to head EU Somali mission
An Irish Army colonel is to take charge of a 150-strong EU force training Somali government soldiers in Uganda, it was announced [Tuesday].

Colonel Michael Beary is to take on the role of mission commander of the EU’s Somali training mission.

The mission, which has been in operation since May 2010, is part of an international effort to strengthen the transitional federal government’s ability to fight Islamist insurgents.

Up to 2,000 recruits are being trained in Bihanga in the west of Uganda to become non-commissioned officers.

...

The EU’s mission comprises of soldiers from 14 member states, and is currently led by Spain as framework nation.

Ireland, which currently contributes three personnel, will take over the mission commander role from Col Ricardo Gonzalez Elul of the Spanish armed forces at the beginning of September.
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Plenty to read in the July 18, 2011 Report of the Monitoring Group on Somalia and Eritrea submitted in accordance with resolution 1916 (2010)

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Robert Young Pelton of Somalia Report analyzes how the Monitoring Group manages to omit the obvious answer to the question Does the US, UN and AMISOM Supply Al-Shabaab?

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While USG officials continue to lead the charge in blaming H.S.M. for the famine and displacements in southern Somalia, the months-long TFG/militia offensive to attack and unseat the group throughout the South continues...

Shabelle Media: Fighting is looming in Lower Jubba region
Tensions high and fighting is feared to break out between the forces of Somali government and Al shabaab fighters in Lower Jubba region of southern Somalia, reports said on Saturday.

Also, the opposing sides are amassing their military ability to confront each other, according to the latest reports emanating from the region.

Some 700 Somali soldiers, who have recently completed their training courses, started attempts to expand into the areas controlled by Al shabaab in the region, Dhobley outskirts in particular.

On the other hand, the Al shabaab movement also made military movement in the region to take precaution against the recently trained solders of the government.

A lot of armed fighters and battle wagons could be seen crisscrossing in the areas of Afmadow, Kismayo and Qoqani, all situate in Lower Jubba region.

Shabelle Media: Ahlu Sunna claims Al shabaab fighters slain in southern Somalia
Spokesperson for Sufi group, Sheikh Mohamed Hussein told Shabelle Media Network that the fighters of Al shabaab were killed during fighting occurred in Burdhobo district of Gedo region. Dozens more injured in the battle, according to the official.

Mr. Hussein said they also confiscated the whole areas where the armed confrontations took place.

He noted that they are pondering plans in which they are to take control the entire southern Somalia region of Gedo, an area partially still in Al shabaab hands.
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Shabelle Media: Somali soldier kills a civilian driver in Mogadishu
Somali soldier on Sunday shot and killed a civilian minibus driver in Mogadishu, witnesses said.

Shabelle Media Network quoted the incident an eyewitness who was present at the time of shooting.

The killing came after the drive drove the minibus with speed as some water brought by the rain [splashed] the dress of the soldier and that prompted the driver to be gunned down.

Though some of Somali government forces reach at the scene for investigation and detention of perpetrator, the killer had escaped.
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From a Daily Monitor interview w/ AFRICOM's Ham, US commando advises government on declaring Somalia a no-fly zone:
Some people have argued that US’s strategy on Somalia has so far been counterproductive. That while the UPDF and Burundi forces have been scoring military gains, there has been no any political progress because of serious contradictions within the Transitional Federal Government (TFG) and the complex Clan-based leadership system in Somalia. Do you think it’s time for a new strategy that would accommodate moderate Islamists and set a stage for peace talks to end the war?

It’s clear that the TFG is not yet a strong government but they are a government and I don’t think that there is much of an alternative to the TFG. I believe it’s in the best interest of all in the international community to do whatever is possible to make the TFG become effective and exercise its role in the leadership of the Somali people.

Ultimately, it should be the decision of the Somali people to decide what form of government they should have. Al-shabaab wants to impose their form of governance on the Somali people. The TFG position is that the people of Somalia should decide how they should be governed. To be clear, this is going to be a difficult struggle. I don’t think it’s the role of the USA to dictate what kind of government should be in Somalia but I think the international community has spoken clearly that it should be a government decided by the Somali people.

We have a meaningful relationship with the TFG and with local authorities in Puntaland and Somaliland. There is a sense, particularly in the USA that the whole of Somalia is in trouble but we in the AFRICOM know that that is not the case. The turmoil is in those areas where governance is not strong and where Al-shabaab has been able to exert their influence and take over the government.

Ham et al know very well that the TFG is not considered a legitimate government inside Somalia because it has been created outside Somalia primarily by foreigners. So when he says that the Somali people can only decide what "form" or "kind" of government they want (meaning anything other than an Islamic state), they don't get to determine the composition of that govt or its leadership. To declare that the "TFG position is that the people of Somalia should decide how they should be governed" is a polite fiction shared by those not having the actual interests of the Somalia people at heart.

The interviewer poses a question there that indicates a limited understanding of the situation in Somalia. The current incarnation of the TFG was itself an attempt to include "moderate Islamists" in an effort to secure governance against the recent revolutionary successes of political Islam across most of central & southern Somalia and set the ARS and certain clans at odds to ensure the ICU remain mostly defunct for the foreseeable future.

Recently the US offered drone assistance to UPDF and Burundi military to use against Al-shabaab. These drones are infamous for killing civilians in Afghanistan. Are you not putting innocent lives in Somalia at risk?

It should be very clear. What the US Congress approved was a package of small hand-held, remotely operated system for tactical use. They will not be operated by us; they will be operated by Ugandan forces. These are not armed systems. They have small cameras and they are able to see places where soldiers cannot go. It’s a very useful system but it will not be operated by us. We will provide training to Ugandan military to operate them in Somalia.

...

The US is very proud to support the AU mission in Somalia, especially Uganda and Burundi troops who are operating inside Somalia to provide stability and security, and protect the Somali people against this extremist group who are operating in Somalia.

As you know, we have been providing training and assistance for a few years now to Uganda and Burundian troops who are deployed in Mogadishu. Recently our Congress in US approved funding to continue that programme and to add on some capabilities which previously have not been in existence.

Without getting into lots of details, the significant change has been the provision of small unmanned aerial systems which we think will be significant to Ugandans and Burundi troops. We are glad to partner with Uganda and Burundi in what we believe is a significant AU mission in Somalia.

It is quite reasonable to expect this will require on-the-job training and supervision.

After the July 11 bomb attacks in Uganda, the US sent its intelligence officers to help Uganda security agencies with the investigations but up to now FBI is yet to release its finding as regards who masterminded the bombing. Most Ugandans have been eagerly waiting for the FBI report. When should we expect this report?

I don’t think it’s for us to say. This is an attack that was conducted by the Al-shabaab against Uganda. We were asked for some support. We have some officials who are good at this type of efforts. To me, I think that it will be inappropriate to say what happened inside Uganda.

It’s one of the extreme that the Al-shabaab would go to influence those whose decisions they don’t like. They came to attack innocent people in Uganda. It’s a lesson for us in the international community that we cannot allow the Al-shabaab become a ruling force in Somalia because if that was the case, more and more of this type of attack would occur.

The man with the hammer sees mostly nails. Obviously Ham & others heard H.S.M. repeatedly state that the attacks in Uganda, as well as the continued threats against Uganda & Burundi, have been direct retaliation for the indiscriminate killing of Somali civilians in Mogadishu by the troops from those two countries. He does acknowlege H.S.M. "came to attack innocent people in Uganda", implying he is well aware of the objective. However, by ignoring the stated motive the commander, for whatever reason, clearly illustrates that no actual learning has taken place and no insight has been gained on his behalf. As much as he may not like it, H.S.M. is already & has been a "ruling force in Somalia". Perhaps he intended should H.S.M. 'become the ruling force in Somalia' then "more and more of this type of attack would occur." But, again, that makes little sense unless foreign troops continue to wage open war on Somalia. While Uganda is guilty of many crimes in Somalia and against Somalis, it does not lay claim to any Somali irredenta. And on the chance that Ham is indeed refering to fears of renewed irrendentism by a Somali govt interested in reunifying all five points on the Somali flag, it is irresponsible on all levels to conflate that w/ the retaliatory bombings in Kampala.

-- -- --

Shabelle Media: Al shabaab: We killed an American officer in Mogadishu battle
The Al shabaab movement on Saturday proclaimed an American officer for training was killed in Mogadishu battles.

Speaking to the local press, Sheikh Abdul-Aziz Abu Mus’ab, the spokesman of Al shabaab fighters said the US officer was slain while giving combat instructions in the seaside city of Mogadishu.

Abu Mus’ab mentioned they have documents proving the identity and the job of the killed US official.

However, he declined to give father details including the name, the identity and information.

But, he reiterated the American has been involved in providing training course to African Union soldiers in Somalia.

RBC:
“The Mujahidin killed senior military advisor for AMISOM troops in Mogadishu. He is US citizen. He was killed in Hodan district of Thursday”. Abu Mus’ab told reporters.

He added “We will soon display his identity and all other documents we have to make it proof”.

“The man used to train AMISOM and he was also senior advisor”. He said.

The spokesman also praised Al-Shabab fighters who managed to shoot the military advisor as he warned the other military gents involving in Somalia matters will be targeted.

Somalia Report:
“He was white man and an American military expert. We are fully aware that more westerners are fighting alongside our enemy which is also the enemy of Allah,” said Abu-Musab.

The spokesman claims that they got this information from an al-Shabaab sources planted within the Somali government.

“He was killed in the area of Hodan on Friday as he was assisting AMISOM soldiers. He was rushed to the African troop’s bases where he was later confirmed to be dead,” said the spokesman.

Thursday, July 21, 2011

Somalia thread for the week ending July 24

UN Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs: Key messages on Somalia - 19 July 2011
1. All parties in Somalia should join efforts to respond to Somali people’s needs. Parts of southern Somalia are currently facing famine. Somalia has not experienced famine since 1993. The combination of drought, increasing food prices and conflict are the main factors responsible for the famine. Malnutrition rates are as high as 50 per cent in parts of southern Somalia and tens of thousands of people have already died of malnutrition in the last few months. If we are not able to intervene immediately, tens of thousands more Somalis may die.

2. The crisis in Somalia will have an increasingly devastating effect on other countries in the region. In the Horn of Africa there are currently 11.5 million people in crisis, including the 3.7 million in Somalia. The number is increasing on a daily basis, with thousands of Somalis fleeing to Ethiopia, Kenya and Djibouti every day. Already over 78,000 Somalis have fled from southern Somalia in search of food and livelihoods in the last two months (61,000 in June alone). Somalia, the epicentre of the regional crisis, could further affect the humanitarian situation in the Horn of Africa region, if humanitarian relief aid does not reach people in southern Somalia immediately.

3. We need donor support to address current needs and prevent a further deterioration of the crisis. Humanitarian agencies need urgent funding to save lives of Somalis affected by the famine in southern regions. Lack of funds for food, nutrition and livelihood interventions is particularly concerning. If funding is not made available for humanitarian interventions now, the famine is likely to continue and spread. Roughly US$300 million is needed in the next two months to upscale response in famine affected areas.

4. We call on all parties, from the donor community to the local authorities in Somalia, to lift restrictions on humanitarian grounds. The humanitarian community is doing its best to address the food crisis, but much more could be done if the current restrictions to the delivery of aid are lifted and unrestricted cross-border passage of relief aid is granted.

Johnnie Carson wants to politicize that combination of factors in Tuesday's DOS special briefing on the situation in the HOA
ASSISTANT SECRETARY CARSON: An especially complex and difficult component of the Horn of Africa’s humanitarian crisis is the high number of Somali refugees flowing into both Ethiopia and Kenya. This is a result of three overlapping and intersecting problems. The first is the extreme climate-induced drought that has prevailed intensely for the past two years and cyclically for more than 50 years. The second is the absence of a functioning central government in Somalia for over two decades. And the third is the presence of the anti-Western terrorist organization Al-Shabaab in south central Somalia. Al-Shabaab’s activities have clearly made the current situation much worse. In January 2010, Al-Shabaab prohibited international humanitarian workers and organizations from operating in their areas of control. And its continued refusal to grant humanitarian access has prevented the international community from responding to and mitigating some of the cumulative and most disastrous consequences of the drought in south central Somalia.

We have seen the recent reports that Al-Shabaab claims that it will finally allow international humanitarian aid into areas under its control. We are consulting with international organizations that have worked in these areas to verify if there has been any real change in Al-Shabaab’s policies that would allow us and others to operate freely and without taxation imposed for humanitarian deliveries. Al-Shabaab’s current policies are wreaking havoc and are not helping Somalis living in the south central part of that country.

...

QUESTION: I have one other question following up either for you, Ms. Lindborg, or for Johnnie Carson about whether U.S. sanctions on Al-Shabaab are complicating. I know you talk about the complications coming from the Al-Shabaab and the insecurity, but are U.S. sanctions preventing USAID agencies in going in?

...

ASSISTANT SECRETARY CARSON: In response to the second question, U.S. sanctions are not the issue or the problem. The issue and the problem is Al-Shabaab. International organizations such as CARE, Save the Children, UNICEF, the WFP, don’t have sanctions. But it is those organizations that have been equally denied an opportunity to operate in south central Somalia. We call on all of those in south central Somalia who have it within their authority to allow refugee groups and organizations to operate there to do so. But the issue is Al-Shabaab. It’s not sanctions. Organizations do not – such as the ones I just mentioned – don’t have sanctions, but they’ve also been barred.

...

QUESTION: ..one question ... to Mr. Carson. You know Somalia – in 1992, there was a similar situation and the international community, including the United States, responded in a bigger way. What’s the next plan, apart from sending some donations to Somalia? Is there any other plan from the U.S. Government toward Somalia? Is there any (inaudible) you are going to provide Somalia?

ASSISTANT SECRETARY CARSON: Let me say that the Horn of Africa has faced over the years a number of cyclical droughts. And indeed, back in the late 1980s, we saw another major drought situation occur. After that, I think my colleagues have pointed out that the FEWS NET program was established to be able to monitor and to warn about droughts. We also started working with various governments to improve their ability to adjust to extreme climatic conditions, to change crops, to be able to store and protect more food and to do a number of other things. The United States over the last decade has been one of the largest and continues to be one of the largest suppliers of humanitarian support and assistance to the region. We continue to work with governments throughout the region, and we hope that our Feed the Future program will contribute to better protection of people against droughts in the future.

...

QUESTION: Another question for Assistant Secretary Carson. George Zornick from The Nation magazine. Last week our magazine reported on the existence of a CIA-run prison in Mogadishu. Is this something that you or the State Department was aware of, the existence of this prison?

ASSISTANT SECRETARY CARSON: I will not comment on any issues related to the CIA or to intelligence matters.

Inner City Press:
As the UN declared a state of famine in two states of Somalia, UN Humanitarian Coordinator for Somalia told the Press that in the past two years the United States fell from being the number one donor to Somalia to seventh or eighth place.

...

Inner City Press asked US Ambassador Susan Rice about Bowden's aid rankings later Wednesday morning, as transcribed by the US Mission to the UN:
Inner City Press: Mark Bowden, the humanitarian coordinator of the UN, just gave a press conference and he said that the U.S., two years ago, was the number one donor to Somalia and has now fallen to seventh or eighth-pretty much tied to anti-terrorism restrictions on where the funds can go. I know you gave the Horn of Africa number but is he correct about this?

Ambassador Rice: I can't tell you if he's correct. I can tell you that the United States remains the largest bilateral donor to the crisis in the Horn and the epicenter of the crisis in the Horn is, of course, Somalia. We have provided support and will continue to provide support to the refugees that have reached Ethiopia and Kenya among others, but our support has gone to Somalia as well and will continue to do so. The challenge has been access for the humanitarian agencies, particularly in the south and the central region, and it's been blocked deliberately as a matter of policy by al-Shabaab. And al-Shabaab is principally responsible for exacerbating the consequences of the drought situation by preventing its own people from being able to access critically needed assistance.

Global National:
Global National’s Peter Harris sat down to talk with Joe Belliveau of Medecins Sans Frontieres to talk about how serious the situation is and whether there is any hope for relief.

...

How has the political situation in the country been impacting your work, particularly when it comes to interacting with Al-Shabaab?

We’ve been running programs in Somalia for the last two decades and currently we run nine, large scale medical, nutritional programs, seven of which are in Al-Shabaab run territories. For the last several years working in Al-Shabaab territories has been a particular challenge. We have managed to maintain all of our programs so far and I think that in itself is a testament to a certain amount of acceptance on the part of Al-Shabaab for what we do. We also know on the ground with our dealings with them that they appreciate and value the services we provide, so in that sense things have been positive.

But the restrictions that we face have caused us to limit what we can do. The restrictions I’m talking about are for international staff, so technical support staff, logistical support staff, people who can come in and work with our Somali staff and give them a real boost. I am also talking about restrictions on flights and that is a problem because it is very difficult for us to resupply our programs with medical and nutritional supplies.

...

We could do more if we have permission to bring in flights and medical staff. If we could do those two things we could give a boost to our current needs and current programs. And we could scale up hopefully to the level necessary to relieve the current crisis.

...

What needs to happen for things to improve in Somalia?

I don’t think it is going to improve anytime soon. I think what is needed is a huge scale up in northern Kenya and Ethiopia where the refugee camps are and there is recent indications that Kenya and Ethiopia are going to open up space for other organizations to come in and for MSF to scale up what we are doing in those camps. And that’s very welcome.

Inside Somalia the situation is similar in that we need more space and permission but we are facing a very different scenario in working with Al-Shabaab. Al-Shabaab has indicated two weeks ago that they would welcome international support for this humanitarian crisis and would welcome a scaling up. So far we haven’t see that work out in practice.

Do you think the UN declaration of famine will help the situation?

It is not going to help immediately on the ground in Somalia. I think over time it will put attention on Somalia and that could lead to increased action on the ground, but again the issue in Somalia is getting permission from those in power, particularly Al-Shabaab at the moment to go into new places and scale up in new place. If we can bring in staff and cargo flights that are currently banned tat would make a difference.
-- -- --

Shabelle Media: Somali govt soldiers clash at the presidency in Mogadishu
Somalia government forces on Tuesday morning clashed at Mogadishu’s Villa Somalia, where at least two soldiers were killed and several others injured.

A government military officer was among those killed in the brief armed confrontation, according to witnesses.

Some of the soldiers who have been involved in the clash were from Somali president Sheikh Sharif Sheikh Ahmed while the others were loyal to parliament speaker Sharif Hassab Sheikh Adam.

The clash flared up shortly after two soldiers disputed, witnesses said...

HOL: Somali President, Speaker’s Guards’ Clash Wounding Three
Eye witnesses told Hiiraan Online (HOL) that gunfire erupted early in the morning when an escort brigade belonging to the parliamentary speaker attempted to enter Villa Somalia, the headquarters of the Transitional Federal Government of Somalia (TFG) in the restive capital Mogadishu.

“One of the speaker’s guards attempted to enter the headquarters of the government, but he was turned down by presidential escorts. He later came back with reinforcement and fighting started after long confrontations” one witness told us

HOL learnt that a senior official of the presidential security team identified as Mohamed Arab was one of three injured soldiers.

The three are reportedly admitted into Mogadishu’s hospitals for further treatment as HOL correspondent in Mogadishu says that there was no official communication from the government.

Sources hinted that an anticipated press conference by Prime Minister Dr. Abdiweli Mohamed Ali was delayed after the embarrassing incident...

RBC: Senior presidential officer killed in gunfire
At least senior officer of Somalia’s presidential palace of Villa Somalia was killed while two others were wounded in a heavy shootinge at villa’s front gate on Tuesday.

The guards of presidential palace clashed with guards of speaker of the parliament, which resulted the death of senior officer and two others wounded, presidential officer told RBC Radio.

The fire exchange begun shortly after presidential guards manning the front gate of the palace pushed back one of the speaker’s security details armed with pistol.

“It was bad accident. Unfortunately one of our officers was killed.” An officer of the Presidential guards told RBC Radio adding that guard members who broke out the fire exchanged were taken into custody.

The accident broke out just as the president and the prime minister were holding closed door meeting in the president’s office of the Villa amid tough consultations on the upcoming of long awaited cabinet.

Calm has now returned to the Villa as African Union forces, mainly from Ugandan contingent took control of the entire area for security tightening.

Somalia Report: Infighting Between Guards Kills Three
At least three soldiers, including a senior commander of the presidential guard, have been killed in a gun battle between guards and forces loyal to the parliamentary speaker inside the presidential palace.

Witnesses say that Ibrahim Bulle, a soldier loyal to Aden, attempted to force his way into a room where Abdiweli, who has reportedly threatened to resign over the cabinet impasse, was meeting Sheikh Sharif. When the presidential guard stopped him, he pulled out a pistol and opened fire. Colonel Mohamed Arab, a senior commander of the presidential guard, was shot in the head and died on the way to hospital. At least two other soldiers were killed, and one injured, in the fighting.

-- -- --

CNN:
"President Obama and Secretary Clinton have aggressively worked to and asked us to test Al-Shabaab [sic]," said Dr. Rajiv Shah, chief administrator of the U.S. Agency for International Development, in an interview from the Dadaab refugee camp.

"If they're going to provide humanitarian access, we're going to stand with the United Nations and other partners to make sure that humanitarian organizations can get in and can reach the most affected people. It's no coincidence that the precise geography that have been labeled a famine and have met the technical designation of famine are precisely those areas where Shabaab has limited access, has harassed aid workers and has made it difficult for people to eke out a basic standard of living and existence."

Shabelle Media: Al shabaab says formerly banned agencies can’t work in its stronghold
The spokesman of Al shabaab, Sheikh Ali Mohamoud Rage on Thursday disclosed that the previously banned aid agencies won’t be allowed to operate in the regions they control where severe drought ravages both people and domestic animals.

The spokesman accused those agencies of having hidden political agendas and being spies.

He said his group called for relief organizations which were working previously in parts of the county to help drought hit Somalis in the areas under its control.

Talking about the most recent UN report that two Al shabaab controlled regions hit by famine, Rage denied there is famine in Somalia, describing the declaration of the UN as political related issue.

AFP:
"Those earlier banned groups are not welcome to serve in our area of control," Al Shebab spokesman Sheikh Ali Mohamud Rage said in a broadcast on the Islamist Al Furqaan radio.

"There is drought in Somalia but not famine - what is declared by the UN is 100 per cent false.

"The declaration of famine is political and is a lie with hidden agendas," he added...

Reuters:
"We say (the U.N. declaration) is totally, 100 percent wrong and baseless propaganda. Yes there is drought but the conditions are not as bad as they say," al Shabaab spokesman Sheikh Ali Mohamud Rage told a media briefing.

"They have another objective and it wouldn't surprise us if they were politicizing the situation."

RBC:
“UN is exaggerating the droughts in Somalia. They say famine exists here, it is lie, it is false”. Sheikh Ali Dhere said in a press conference in Mogadishu on Thursday afternoon.

“The report was written by unaware individuals and is politically motivated”.

...

“The order will not be included those were banned already”. He said.

Sheikh Ali Dhere blamed many of the foreign relief agencies were conduction intelligence work in Somalia as he said Al-Shabab will not grant them permission to come into the country.

“Some of the so-called aid agencies were spies and others were harming our people. Those will not come here”. Sheikh Ali Dhere added.

Somalia Report
on Thursday [Rage] caused confusion by telling a local radio station that the previous bans from 2009 and 2010 were still in effect. He also challenged the recent declaration of famine. "We say is totally [sic], 100% wrong and baseless propaganda. Yes there is drought, but the conditions are not as bad as they say. They have another objective and it wouldn't surprise us if they were politicizing the situation."

...

To clarify their position, Somalia Report again contacted Sheikh Ali Mohamud Rage who provided us with a list of NGOs and groups they have officially banned.

LIST OF ORGANIZATIONS BANNED BY AL SHABAAB:

1. Mercy Corps
2. European Fusion Education Network (Fusenet)
3. Horn Relief
4. UNDSS United Nations Department of Safety and Security
5. UNDP United Nations Development Program
6. UNPOS United Nations Political Office
7. WFP United Nations World Food Program
8. United Nations Mine Action
9. ACF Action against Hunger
10. World Vision
11. ADRA Adventist Development and Relief Agency
12. Diakonia (Christian development organization)
13. Care International
14. INC (no listing)
15. COOPI Cooperazione Internazionale
16. IFRC Somali Red Crescent Society
17. Agrosphere
18. IMC International Medical Corps 19. Mercy-USA
20. USAID Famine Early Warning Systems Network
21. DRC described by al Shabaab as a "local NGO" (may mean DRC or Danish Refugee Council)
22. Juba Shine (a local NGO and part of the WASH network)

UN News Service:
While many countries worldwide face food security crises, with large numbers of people hungry and unable to find enough food, only rarely do the conditions meet the humanitarian community’s formal criteria for a famine.

...

A famine can be declared only when certain measures of mortality, malnutrition and hunger are met. They are: at least 20 per cent of households in an area face extreme food shortages with a limited ability to cope; acute malnutrition rates exceed 30 per cent; and the death rate exceeds two persons per day per 10,000 persons.

Other factors considered in these areas of Somalia include large-scale displacement, widespread destitution, disease outbreaks and social collapse.

The definition has been developed through the work of the Integrated Food Security Phase Classification (IPC), which includes specialists from humanitarian agencies, including the UN Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) and the UN World Food Programme (WFP), as well as leading non-governmental organizations (NGOs) and Government aid agencies.

The gathering of data to determine whether the criteria are met is in this case in the hands of the UN-backed Food Security and Nutrition Analysis Unit-Somalia (FSNAU), which is administered by FAO. FSNAU then passes the information to the UN, aid agencies and the United States Famine Early Warning Systems Network (FEWS NET).

The declaration of a famine carries no binding obligations on the UN or Member States, but serves to focus global attention on the problem.

FSNAU:
Evidence of severely reduced food access, acute malnutrition, and crude mortality indicates that a famine is currently ongoing in two areas of southern Somalia: the Bakool agropastoral livelihood zones and all areas of Lower Shabelle. This crisis represents the most serious food insecurity situation in the world today, in terms of both scale and severity. Current humanitarian response is inadequate to meet emergency needs. Assuming current levels of response, evidence suggests that famine across all regions of the south will occur in the coming 1-2 months. A massive multisectoral response is critical to prevent additional deaths and total livelihood/social collapse and most immediately, interventions to improve food access and to address health/nutrition issues are needed.

The current crisis in southern Somalia is driven by a combination of factors:-

  • The total failure of the October-December Deyr rains (secondary season) and the poor performance of the April-June Gu rains (primary season) have resulted in crop failure, reduced labor demand, poor livestock body conditions, and excess animal mortality

  • Local cereal prices across the south are far above average, more than 2 to 3 times 2010 prices in some areas, and continue to rise. As a result, both livestock to cereal and wage to cereal terms of trade have deteriorated substantially. Across all livelihoods, poor households (~30 percent of the population) are unable to meet basic food needs and have limited ability to cope with these food deficits

  • During July, FSNAU conducted 17 representative nutrition and mortality surveys across southern Somalia; results are available for 11 surveys. The prevalence of acute malnutrition exceeds 20 percent in all areas and is higher than 38 percent (with severe acute malnutrition higher than 14 percent) in 9 of the 11 survey areas. The highest recorded levels of acute malnutrition are in Bay, Bakool, and Gedo (agropastoral) where the GAM prevalence exceeds 50 percent. The U.S. Centers for Disease Control (CDC) has verified these findings

  • Population-wide death rates are above the famine threshold (2/10,000/day) in two areas (Bakool agropastoral, and all areas of Lower Shabelle) and are elevated across the south. Under-5 death rates are higher than 4/10,000/day in all areas of the south where data is available, peaking at 13-20/10,000/day in riverine and agropastoral areas of Lower Shabelle. Tens of thousands of people have died in the past three months.

  • FAO:
    About 80 percent of Somalia’s population relies on agriculture for their livelihoods. However, the sector is severely restricted by recurrent drought and floods, civil insecurity and massive population displacement.

    Pastoralists have struggled to cope with decreased rainfall, deteriorating water and pasture conditions, high commodity prices and poor terms of trade for livestock. Unusual livestock movements have been recorded in some area as pastoralists move their animals in search of pasture and water. Livestock body condition has deteriorated and mortality rates have risen, leading to reduced productivity.

    Between October 2010 and January 2011, Somalia witnessed sharp increases in the prices of domestically produced cereals, with rises of up to 300 percent recorded in some areas compared with the same month in 2010. The January 2011 harvest failed throughout the agricultural regions in the south, and the outlook for the next harvest expected in August 2011 is not much better.

    FAO:
    Currently, about 3.7 million people, more than a third of the country’s population, are estimated to be in need of humanitarian assistance. Most of them are pastoral and agro-pastoral households in central and southern areas whose food security conditions have precipitously deteriorated since the poor outturn of the secondary 2010 “deyr” season harvested in March. Unless immediate large scale humanitarian interventions are forthcoming, food security conditions of drought-affected households are expected to further deteriorate until the onset of “deyr” short rainy season in October 2011 and other areas, especially in the south, are likely to fall soon into famine status.

    ...

    Civil insecurity and armed conflicts continue to represent the major serious threat to food security in most areas of southern and central Somalia, particularly in Mogadishu, parts of Bakool, Juba, Hiran, Mudug, Galgadud, Lower Juba and Gedo regions. This situation has resulted in loss of human lives, increased displacements of civilians, disruption of trade activities and increased transportation costs, while presenting an obstacle to the delivery of humanitarian assistance.

    ...

    Since last quarter of 2010, prices of domestically produced staple cereal crops have started to rise as a consequence of the depletion of local stocks and the uncertain prospects over the production of the 2011 main “gu” season. In June 2011, prices of sorghum and maize reached record levels in most markets of the country. From January to June 2011, maize prices have risen by 130 percent in Marka market, which is the main maize producing southern region of Lower Shabelle, while sorghum prices increased by 63 percent in Baidoa market, Bay region, located in the Sorghum Belt. In the capital city Mogadishu, prices of maize and sorghum increased over the same period by 96 and 80 percent, respectively. The temporary closure of the main wholesale market in Mogadishu for security reasons from the last week of February to April has also contributed to the escalation of prices.

    Prices of imported rice increased during June in most markets, and were between 8 to 13 percent higher than in the previous year, mainly due to high fuel and transport costs reflecting higher international prices and the depreciation of the Somali Shilling against the US Dollar.

    ICRC:
    The severe drought, with below average rainfall in most parts of southern and central Somalia since the last deyr rainy season (from September to November 2010), has hit a population already exhausted by years of armed conflict, previous dry spells and economic crises.

    Hundreds of thousands of people displaced within Somalia are searching for shelter and food. The majority live in the open or in makeshift camps. They represent a heavy burden for the host communities that share their scarce resources with them. Most of the displaced do not have anything left to sell and are therefore unable to buy food. As a result, malnutrition rates are usually even higher among displaced people than among the general population.

    In addition, the absence of international humanitarian organizations, many of which have stopped their activities in southern Somalia since early 2009 because of security constraints and restrictions imposed by local authorities, has added to the hardship.

    The ongoing armed conflict, which intensified further with a new offensive at the beginning of the year, mainly in Mogadishu and along the Kenyan and Ethiopian borders, prevents many of the displaced from returning to their home areas. Thousands are crossing the borders every week.

    ...

    Livestock are severely affected by the lack of pasture and water, especially in the southern and central regions. Many animals, especially cattle, have died. Those that survive are not able to reproduce and therefore have no milk. This has a strongly negative impact on the nutrition of children, for whom animal milk is one of the most important sources of protein. Moreover, the surviving animals are not in good condition and therefore fetch very low prices at market. Because pastoralists need grain and have nothing but livestock to trade, low prices for livestock combined with the world food crisis, which has pushed up prices for grain, constitute a double blow for them.

    ...

    Alarming rates of malnutrition are being observed in ICRC-supported outpatient therapeutic feeding programmes in central and southern Somalia. High rates of moderate and severe malnutrition in children under five have been reported in the coastal areas of central Somalia, in the Jubas and in Gedo. Admissions into the outpatient therapeutic feeding programmes run by the Somali Red Crescent Society have doubled since March. In Bay region, 11 per cent of children under the age of five are currently suffering from severe acute malnutrition. In Tieglow district, Bakool region, there has been a dramatic increase in the number of children treated at the mother and child health-care centres, with the rate of severe acute malnutrition rising from 16 to over 30 per cent between March and April.

    ...

    As a first step in responding to the crisis, the Somali Red Crescent and the ICRC are expanding existing outpatient therapeutic feeding programmes in southern Somalia. Ten new feeding centres will be opened in Bakool, Gedo and the Afgoye corridor. Additional mobile teams made up of nurses and nutritional specialists will visit people in the areas worst affected. Moreover, a new feeding programme supplementing the regular therapeutic feeding is being launched for malnourished children under five and other vulnerable groups, such as pregnant and lactating women. Up to 36,000 people will benefit from these measures.

    As soon as possible, the ICRC will complement the feeding programme with targeted food distributions together with the Somali Red Crescent.

    AFP:
    The International Red Cross said Sunday it had handed out 400 tonnes of food in drought-hit parts of rebel-held southern Somalia as the UN prepares to host emergency talks on the crisis in the region.

    "The distribution look place in the Bardera district and passed without incident, with the knowledge of the authorities and the recipients," ICRC spokesman Yves Van Loo told AFP in Nairobi.

    It is the first ICRC-led food drop direct to locals in Shebab-controlled zones since 2009, he said, adding that further food drops will take place in the coming days.

    MSF:
    What characterises this crisis is that people are now leaving their villages and the rural areas en masse because crops have failed and livestock are dying.

    “Displacement is nothing new to Somalis,” says MSF operations manager Joe Belliveau. “For the past few years, hundreds of thousands have fled the violence in Mogadishu and elsewhere. What is new is that people are now fleeing the rural areas simply because they have no more food to eat.”

    Camps for the displaced are appearing inside Somalia wherever people feel they have a better chance of getting help.

    In the village of Jilib, in Lower Juba Valley, for example, around 5,000 people have spontaneously settled in a makeshift camp in the hope of receiving support from the local community, the authorities and MSF.

    MSF is currently running nine medical-nutritional programmes in South Central Somalia, most of which are in territory controlled by Al Shabab.

    Along with MSF’s three large health programmes in refugee camps over the border in Kenya and Ethiopia, the nine programmes in South Central Somalia conduct thousands of medical consultations daily and currently treat over 10,000 severely malnourished children.
    -- -- --

    Daily Monitor: AU Somalia pullout a long way off, says French General
    The Commander of the French forces in Djibouti, Maj. Gen. Thierry Caspar-Fille-Lambie, has said the African Union will have to stay in Somalia for a long time to achieve stability in the country.

    Gen. Lambie told journalists at the French ambassador’s residence in Kampala yesterday that the mission lacks both personnel and equipment to flush out al-Shabaab out of Somalia. “We’re only at the beginning. It could take a long, long time,” he said.

    He estimates that 20,000 forces are needed to pacify Somalia, a sizable increase on the 12,000 currently deployed.
    “The task of soldiers is to secure areas but currently the force is too small to secure vast territories,” said Gen. Lambie.

    French forces, working with their UK and US counterparts, have provided training to UPDF forces deployed in Somalia. Eleven thousand forces have now been trained, more than half under Gen. Lambie’s supervision.

    In addition, 2,500 Somalis have been trained in Uganda. The mandate for training Somali troops ends in September but negotiations at the European Union are ongoing to train a further 1,000 troops next year.

    Gen. Lambie denied allegations of widespread defections of Somali government soldiers to al-Shabaab. He said the priority for the EU forces is now to identify and train Somali leaders. “We can train 2,000 troops a year but what we need are good leaders. This could take a long time,” he said.

    Shabelle Media: Somali official admits corruption within the govt
    Gen. Yusuf Mohamed Siad Indha Adde, Somali military officer, on Thursday admitted that there is countless corruption in the transitional federal government of Somalia.

    Indha Adde noted that he is very pleased with the understanding of the international community that their funds intended to help Somalia were stolen.

    He said it is needed the United States and others donors that help the horn of African nation to closely look into the mass corruption committed by top TFG leaders, pointing out that anyone is found guilty of money laundering should be put on trial.

    The general also admitted a lot of Somali government soldiers defected with their weapons and military vehicle and joined to the Al shabaab militants which struggles to dethrone Somalia’s internationally recognized government.

    “There were some government officials who have been involved in cases of selling the government weapons to rebel groups” Indha Adde said, but declined to specify the names of those individuals in the government.

    Shabelle Media: Mogadishu mayor: There is corruption in IDPs Camps
    The Mogadishu mayor and the governor of Benadir region on Saturday said there is a huge corruption inside the Internally Displaced People Camps in Mogadishu, particularly when food aid is distributed.

    Mohamoud Ahmed Nur, the mayor of Mogadishu made the comments while he was speaking to the local press.

    He said the IDPs in government controlled areas in the capital always corrupt the aid they receive.

    ...

    Mayor’s comments come as emerging reports suggested there is massive corruption in aid destined for the drought displaced Somalis who poured into Benadir region.

    IRIN: Displaced by drought, hit by rain
    Heavy rains have fallen in the Somali capital of Mogadishu, making life harder for thousands of people displaced by drought who cannot find shelter, officials said.

    "About 10,000 families displaced by the drought from Bay, Bakool, Lower Shabelle, Lower Juba and Upper Juba regions, who have come to Mogadishu, are now in a serious situation," Aden H Ibrahim, Minister for Health in Somalia's Transitional Federal Government (TFG), told IRIN. "They are without shelter, food, water, health facilities as well as latrines. These families are in 50 camps in the capital."

    ...

    Most of the drought-displaced who made it to Mogadishu, according to Mohamed Abrone, chairman of Taleh settlement for the displaced, are from four of the eight south-central regions: Bay, Bakool, Lower Juba, Upper and Lower Shabelle. The hardest-hit areas in these regions are the districts and villages of Qansadheere, Xabaal Barbaar, Ufurow, Afgoye Yare, Roobay, Dinsoor, Saakow, Gurabay, Juwerey, Il-Bete, Gaduday, Deemay and El-wareegow.

    "Coming from that far distance, some walked all the way from their villages, taking 15 days, while others paid about 500,000 Somali shillings [US$16.66] after losing all their livestock during the two years of consecutive drought," he said.

    Not much aid has reached the displaced in Mogadishu. Abdi-Kadir Mohamed Hirabe, deputy director of Al-Ri'aya (Daryeel), a local NGO working with a Kuwaiti NGO, said the group had distributed food to 100 drought-displaced families in the capital.

    "We have distributed rice, flour and cooking oil in amounts we think will last them about 20 days," he said.


    ...

    ..Fadumo Hassan Ali, the ministry's deputy minister, told IRIN in Mogadishu. "Each of the camps of Hamar-weyne and Kanisada [in the city] hold at least 300 families. The ministry distributed some money to 1,450 families in Mogadishu, each family receiving $5 for five days' meals."

    That is still not enough for the drought-affected IDPs.

    "We have nothing, our animals were lost," Mohamed Abrone, a father of five, told IRIN at Taleh camp, near Km4. "We came to Mogadishu in search of survival; even though some local people have supported us by giving us food, we remain without shelter, water, latrines or anything else."
    -- -- --

    Shabelle Media: Somalia’s new cabinet approved by the parliament
    The transitional federal parliament of Somalia (TFP) today approved the newly nominated cabinet after meeting in Mogadishu.

    Today’s parliament session was chaired by the speaker of the parliament, Sharif Hassan Sheikh Adam with the presence of some 420 Somali lawmakers.

    ...

    After that the vote was cast and some 397 lawmakers voted in favor of the new cabinet minister appointed by the premier a day ago.

    HOL:
    In a sitting attended by some 420 members of the Somali parliament, Dr. Ali’s proposal was ratified by a show of hand where only 21 MPs opposed with only two abstentions recorded.

    But some MPs were quick to reject the outcome of Saturday’s parliamentary approval citing undemocratic procedure for the house business. Groups of opposition MPs were seen walking out of the house in the mid of the session.
    -- -- --

    From Michael Weinstein's latest analysis, The Possibility of Balkanization:
    During the first three weeks of July, a shift in "donor"-power/U.N. orientation towards Somalia’s conflicts has begun to emerge. The T.F.G. has lost its privileged place in the calculations of the "donor"-powers/U.N., leaving the latter without a Somali political entity through which to exert its influence.

    The international coalition has placed its bets on the "Consultative Meeting on the End of the Transition," which it is orchestrating in its latest effort to take over the process by which Somalia is supposed to transition to permanent statehood.

    The title, "Consultative Meeting on the End of the Transition," tells the whole story. The international coalition wants the "transition" over and done with by August, 2012. It thinks that it can do this by bringing together the T.F.G., regional states (Puntland), autonomous administrations (Galmudug), and a set of administrations (A.S.W.J.) to create a "roadmap" for a permanent state.

    ...

    It is a direct attempt by the international coalition to take over the transitional process and – it bears repetition – to end it. The international coalition does not have, from its point of view, the time or resources to engage in "nation building" (it never did, but it played at it) in Somalia. Its members do not even have a favored solution. They just want a "government" they can make deals with and that will cooperate in anti-terrorism. Somali interests are not involved at all in their calculations. They have their own fiscal crisis to worry about. They are trying (U.S. most of all) to get out of Iraq and Afghanistan. They want to get out of transitional Somalia and into anti-terrorist Somalia.

    ...

    ..the general tendency in the West is expressed in a policy towards transition to legal statehood of "take over and get it over with."

    Right now, there is mostly a sentiment of frustrated impatience – an irritation with Somalia that is becoming a dominant sentiment. Policy has not changed yet, although it is shifting. The West is still thinking in terms of "Somalia;" indeed it is expressing big ideas for it – its "consultative meeting."The great break would increase in probability if –as is likely – the "donor"-powers/U.N. fail and there is nowhere to go but an effectively Balkanized policy, whatever legal cover that practice might be given. It appears that the international coalition has cut itself loose from its anchor in the T.F.G. It is putting itself in the position in which it will either have to impose a government on "Somalia" or give up on a government for "Somalia."

    The expedient concerns of the West might force Balkanization on Somalia, for better or worse.

    Sunday, July 17, 2011

    Somalia thread for the week ending July 17

    Big story this week was Jeremy Scahill's investigative piece in The Nation, The CIA's Secret Sites in Somalia

    Some excerpts and remarks:

    Nestled in a back corner of Mogadishu’s Aden Adde International Airport is a sprawling walled compound run by the Central Intelligence Agency. Set on the coast of the Indian Ocean, the facility looks like a small gated community, with more than a dozen buildings behind large protective walls and secured by guard towers at each of its four corners. Adjacent to the compound are eight large metal hangars, and the CIA has its own aircraft at the airport. The site, which airport officials and Somali intelligence sources say was completed four months ago, is guarded by Somali soldiers, but the Americans control access. At the facility, the CIA runs a counterterrorism training program for Somali intelligence agents and operatives aimed at building an indigenous strike force capable of snatch operations and targeted “combat” operations against members of Al Shabab, an Islamic militant group with close ties to Al Qaeda.

    As part of its expanding counterterrorism program in Somalia, the CIA also uses a secret prison buried in the basement of Somalia’s National Security Agency (NSA) headquarters, where prisoners suspected of being Shabab members or of having links to the group are held. Some of the prisoners have been snatched off the streets of Kenya and rendered by plane to Mogadishu. While the underground prison is officially run by the Somali NSA, US intelligence personnel pay the salaries of intelligence agents and also directly interrogate prisoners. The existence of both facilities and the CIA role was uncovered by The Nation during an extensive on-the-ground investigation in Mogadishu. Among the sources who provided information for this story are senior Somali intelligence officials; senior members of Somalia’s Transitional Federal Government (TFG); former prisoners held at the underground prison; and several well-connected Somali analysts and militia leaders, some of whom have worked with US agents, including those from the CIA. A US official, who confirmed the existence of both sites, told The Nation, “It makes complete sense to have a strong counterterrorism partnership” with the Somali government.

    As covered previously, the contractor for the airport operations & reconstruction was reported to be the Dubai-based SKA Air & Logistics. A February 2010 sales pitch in International Business Review Online titled The Art of Risk Mitigation presented the following primer on SKA:
    Established in 2003 by its President and CEO Mike Douglas, a former Royal Marine [and soldier in the South African Special Forces], SKA prides itself on being a leading provider of aviation and transportation logistics solutions - ranging from air charter and air freight services, fuel supply services, cargo handling services, and supply chain management. While such services are run of the mill for any transportation and logistics solutions provider, SKA’s differentiating factor can be seen in its other services which include providing safety and security solutions, life support services, and medical evacuation (Medevac) services.

    SKA, after all, is not only a leading provider of aviation and transportation logistics solutions; it is the leading provider of such solutions in harsh and hazardous environments.

    ...

    While SKA’s home office is in Dubai, its main thrust - or two main thrusts - of operations are in Afghanistan and Iraq. In such countries where life is cheap and risks of being caught in a terrorist attack, murder, or abduction are high, the fact that SKA has established and consolidated a presence there is testimony to its excellence. After all with its comprehensive fleet of aircraft, an extensive network of partners, and with its senior management team having a combined 150 years of experience in the aviation industry; SKA has everything to ensure that it provides the best to its clients. And a good example of this is its operations in Iraq.

    For some, Iraq is a country that represents the metaphoric “where” to which fools rush but angels fear to tread. Since the US-led Coalition invasion of the country in 2003, and the subsequent civil and sectarian conflict that has broken out, around 130,000 civilians have been killed by the fighting or as part of collateral damage.

    However, as mentioned above, a country like Iraq also provides great potential returns as it boasts vast oilfields, the full wealth of which have been left untapped for the better part of 20 years since the First Gulf War in 1991. It is estimated that Iraq’s oil fields has the capacity to provide 11.7 million barrels of crude oil per day, but similar to Coleridge’s Ancient Mariner, there is “oil, oil everywhere but it is too dangerous to explore.”

    Too dangerous, that is, for normal companies. And this is where SKA’s expertise comes into play…

    DynCorp International, under contract w/ the DOS, has also for a long time had an office in the airport compound.

    Probably not much of chance of getting an investigative journalist to explore the links b/w the CIA, SKA and DynCorp in Mogadishu.

    While the size of the CIA's physical presence inside Mogadishu is something new, that presence itself is, of course, not. As Gettlemen ended his September 16, 2009 article article for the NYT w/ these final two paragraphs:
    And Somali officials say the C.I.A. will open a base in the old officer quarters near Mogadishu`s airport. They said three C.I.A. officers visited Villa Somalia in late August to discuss training Sheik Sharif`s struggling intelligence services.

    American officials acknowledged that the United States was helping in unconventional ways, but would not specify further. At the palace, a tall, thickly built white man, wearing khaki fatigues and carrying an American assault rifle, stood guard outside a meeting room. It was not clear whom the man was working for. When he saw a journalist looking at him, he stepped inside and quietly closed the door.

    Getting back to Scahill's current article in The Nation:
    The CIA presence in Mogadishu is part of Washington’s intensifying counterterrorism focus on Somalia, which includes targeted strikes by US Special Operations forces, drone attacks and expanded surveillance operations. The US agents “are here full time,” a senior Somali intelligence official told me. At times, he said, there are as many as thirty of them in Mogadishu, but he stressed that those working with the Somali NSA do not conduct operations; rather, they advise and train Somali agents.

    ...

    According to well-connected Somali sources, the CIA is reluctant to deal directly with Somali political leaders, who are regarded by US officials as corrupt and untrustworthy. Instead, the United States has Somali intelligence agents on its payroll. Somali sources with knowledge of the program described the agents as lining up to receive $200 monthly cash payments from Americans. “They support us in a big way financially,” says the senior Somali intelligence official. “They are the largest [funder] by far.”

    Some of those Somali sources are obviously misleading Schahill. The agency may not deal directly w/ the political leadership's handling of affairs in Mogadishu, or even give a fig about a functioning authority being in place, but it definately has played a leading role in shaping the transitional government, having turned Sh. Sharif into an asset (via Michael Ranneberger) after the counter-revolutionary invasion toppled the ICU, and supporting the past three transitional PM's.

    Rather than nation-building, the goal has always been to weaken the influence of the Islamists in Somalia and prevent them from gaining political ascendancy. As Johnnie Carson reinforced in remarks made last July in Kamapala,
    It is important that the TFG be strengthened, for if it is not, Shabaab will continue to emerge as a significant political threat not only in the south, but also throughout the region.

    This has been pointed out numerous times, but it's no secret that the CIA has been running US policy in Somalia for years now. One of the sources cited in Scahill's article even alludes to this:
    It is unclear how much control, if any, Somalia’s internationally recognized president, Sheikh Sharif Sheikh Ahmed, has over this counterterrorism force or if he is even fully briefed on its operations. The CIA personnel and other US intelligence agents “do not bother to be in touch with the political leadership of the country. And that says a lot about the intentions,” says [Abdirahman “Aynte” Ali, a Somali analyst who has researched the Shabab and Somali security forces]. “Essentially, the CIA seems to be operating, doing the foreign policy of the United States. You should have had State Department people doing foreign policy, but the CIA seems to be doing it across the country.”

    While the Somali officials interviewed for this story said the CIA is the lead US agency on the Mogadishu counterterrorism program, they also indicated that US military intelligence agents are at times involved. When asked if they are from JSOC or the Defense Intelligence Agency, the senior Somali intelligence official responded, “We don’t know. They don’t tell us.”

    ...

    In the battle against the Shabab, the United States does not, in fact, appear to have cast its lot with the Somali government. The emerging US strategy on Somalia—borne out in stated policy, expanded covert presence and funding plans—is two-pronged: On the one hand, the CIA is training, paying and at times directing Somali intelligence agents who are not firmly under the control of the Somali government, while JSOC conducts unilateral strikes without the prior knowledge of the government; on the other, the Pentagon is increasing its support for and arming of the counterterrorism operations of non-Somali African military forces.

    In an interview that Schahill gave on Democracy Now this week, he says
    I also met a man who claimed that he had been held in an underground prison in the basement of the National Security Agency, which is one of the facilities where the CIA has its personnel, and it’s literally behind the presidential palace in Villa Somalia, which is the semi-fortified area where Somalia’s Transitional Federal Government, the U.S.-backed government, is based. ... And he said that he had seen both U.S. and French agents, white men, interrogating prisoners, and that some of the prisoners claimed that they had been snatched in neighboring Kenya and brought, rendered, to Somalia. And so, I started that investigation, and more sources came forward when I was in Mogadishu to describe this and confirmed that CIA personnel and possibly U.S. military intelligence personnel are interrogating prisoners held in that basement facility.

    Also in that interview, Scahill says
    I also was told by a very senior Somali official — and I’m going to be writing about this in the coming weeks—that JSOC actually has forces on the ground that are directly targeting Shabab, not just flying in and hitting them, but actually on the ground onducting operations.
    -- -- --

    Stars and Stripes: AFRICOM Marine task force to help train militaries fighting al-Qaida-linked groups in Somalia, Maghreb region
    With an eye on insurgent movements in Somalia and volatile parts of northern Africa, a new Marine task force has been assigned to U.S. Africa Command as part of an effort to ramp up training partnerships with militaries fighting al-Qaida-linked groups on the continent.

    The addition of the Marine infantrymen, coupled with the recent commissioning of an Africa-focused Naval Special Warfare unit based is Stuttgart, home of the AFRICOM headquarters, suggests AFRICOM is starting to add some muscle.

    The Special Purpose Marine Air Ground Task Force, expected to be based in southern Europe, will focus on training African troops deploying as peacekeepers to Somalia, while also bolstering militaries attempting to take on groups affiliated with al-Qaida that are operating across the Maghreb region.

    ...

    “We’re not going to go hunt down al-Qaida in the Maghreb,” said Col. Dale Vesely, plans and operations chief for Marine Forces Africa, which is also based in Stuttgart, “but we’re training [African militaries] to go fight it.”

    The unit, which includes air and ground elements, could grow from 123 Marines to about 364 troops in the next few years, if the initial missions prove successful, said Brig. Gen. Paul Brier, deputy commander of MARFOR Africa.

    ...

    The plan to send small numbers of troops to train other militaries to target terrorist groups is in line with a U.S. counterterrorism strategy in Africa that puts a premium on maintaining a low profile, said Rick Nelson, a counterterror expert at the Center for Strategic and International Studies in Washington.

    “The United States is certainly in a challenging position because we constantly have to balance our presence against the potential negative impacts of that presence,” Nelson said. “We’ve also learned a large-scale military intervention to combat al-Qaida is no longer economical or politically feasible.”

    ...

    Marine officials say that ... the new task force will ... [provide] local forces with better tactics for confronting the threats that surround them.

    ...

    The plan to establish a Special Purpose Marine Air Ground Task Force dedicated exclusively to AFRICOM missions has been in development for two years.

    The unit’s members have now been selected, and preparations are under way to forward-deploy them in Europe in a matter of months, according to Marines at the command’s Panzer Kaserne headquarters in Stuttgart. However, officials say negotiatons are still under way with the host nation, so they are not yet saying exactly where the task force will be located.

    ...

    As a back-up plan, the Marines could operate out of the U.S., if efforts to forward-deploy fall through, Vesely said. New troops will be rotated into the unit every six months.

    Brier, the outgoing deputy commander of Marine Forces Africa, acknowledged the SPMAGTF is being formed at a time when troops and resources are stretched thin. However, the unit should be able to grow over time as the Corps looks for efficient ways to return Marines to their more expeditionary roots after years spent on combat outposts in Iraq and Afghanistan, Brier said.

    “We’re doing it with the idea of, how do we sustain it for the long-haul,” Brier said.

    Another Stars and Stripes article just three days earlier: U.S. nearing 'strategic defeat' of al-Qaida, Panetta says
    Defense Secretary Leon Panetta said he is convinced the U.S. is within reach of “strategically” defeating al-Qaida if military and intelligence operations can nab fewer than 20 key leaders remaining between Pakistan and North Africa.

    “I think we have them on the run. I think now is the moment,” he said Friday. “… I do believe that if we continue this effort, we can really cripple al-Qaida as a threat to this country.”

    ...

    “I’m not going to list all the names that we have,” Panetta said of al-Qaida, “but we’re talking about, at this stage in the game, I would say somewhere around 10 to 20 key leaders ... between Pakistan, Yemen, Somalia, AQIM (al-Qaida in the Islamic Maghreb) in North Africa. Those are — if we can go after them, I think we really can strategically defeat al-Qaida.”
    -- -- --

    Shabelle Media: Parliament unanimously approves Kampala Accord
    The transitional federal parliament on Monday overwhelmingly approved the Kampala Accord that extended the current government’s term for an additional 12 months.

    ...

    With the presence of 436 lawmakers out of 550 Sharif Hassan Sheikh Adam, the speaker of the parliament, chaired Monday's session and ended in peaceful atmosphere in contrast of yesterday’s session that ended in uproar and shouting.

    ...

    After hours of discussions on the deal articles, which Somali president Sheikh Sharif Sheikh Ahmed and parliament speaker signed in Kampala on June 9, was endorsed by 393 MPs, 36 voted against it while 7 abstained, Somali parliament speaker announced.

    Shabelle Media: Mahiga arrives at Mogadishu and meets with top TFG officials
    A high level delegation led by the UN special envoy for Somalia, Augustine Mahiga on Tuesday arrived at the seaside city of Mogadishu to meet with Somali government’s top leaders.

    In his visit to Mogadishu, Mahiga separately held meetings with Somali president, Sheikh Sharif Sheikh Ahmed, the prime minister, Abdiweli Mohamed Ali, and speaker of the parliament Sharif Hassan Sheikh Adam.

    Speaking to the press in Somalia’s war-torn capital, the UN envoy warmly welcomed the move by the parliament in which they approved the Kampala Accord.
    -- -- --

    Reuters: Uganda's Museveni calls for air support in Somalia
    Ugandan President Yoweri Museveni on Monday called for foreign air support to help root out Islamist militants in Somalia, one year after suicide bombings killed 79 people in his country's capital city.

    ...

    "This Somali problem appears to be a conservation project because of the one dimensional involvement: just involvement by the land forces. Why don't we use the air? What is the air for?" Museveni said.

    He said "international" air and sea support for AMISOM was necessary to defeat the Islamists and to fight piracy off Somali's shores.

    "Why does the international community preserve this? We are ready to solve this problem decisively," Museveni said.
    -- -- --

    Nairobi Star: US to partner with Kenya in Somali border security
    The US government has pledged to partner with Kenya to ensure security threats arising from opening of the Somali border are addressed. US Deputy Assistant Secretary Bureau of Population, Refugees and Migration Reuben Brigety said the American government shares Kenya’s concerns over the security threats but promised that all will be done to support the security systems.

    ...

    Further, Brigety said the US supports the creation of more refugee camps in the Northern Kenya to assist in containing the influx. He said more camps will enable the UNHCR to account for the refugees entering the country and help the government to physically identify them. America, he said was also keen on ensuring the stability of Somalia to restore permanent [non-Islamist, subordinate] political and [non-Islamic, neo-liberal] economic order.